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Thickthorn Tom

There is a horse in Dan Skelton's Alcester yard right now who looks like he has only just figured out what he is capable of. Thickthorn Tom, a 6-year-old with 12 races under his belt, has won 3 of them and finished in the frame in 6 more — that is a podium finish in 9 out of every 12 races, which is the kind of consistency that makes a trainer sit up and take notice.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Ocovango
Mother
Blume
Owner
Kate Fisher Sally Hall
Rating
95

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
12
Career races
3
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most striking thing about Thickthorn Tom is the timing of that form. His last six races read 3-2-1-2-1-1 going backwards, which means he has won three of his last six — including a win at Worcester just this week. He first got off the mark at Newton Abbot back in May 2026, and he has not looked back since. Something has clearly clicked.

His record on normal ground tells an important story. From four races in standard conditions, he has won two of them — that is a 50% win rate, which in horse racing terms is bordering on freakish. Find him on a decent surface and he becomes a different proposition.

The one puzzle in his profile is his record at Class 4 level, which is the grade he typically lines up in. From four races at that level, he has yet to win — zero from four. That sounds odd set against his recent run of form, but it likely just means his wins have come at the grades below, and that stepping up in class is still a work in progress. Whether he can translate this current purple patch into a result at his regular level is the question worth watching.

Skelton's operation adds a layer of credibility here. The yard at Alcester has sent out 198 winners this season alone — that is a conveyor belt of success, and horses stabled there tend to be well-placed. When a yard of that size and quality keeps running a horse, it is usually because they believe there is more to come. With Thickthorn Tom in the form of his life and racing just a day ago, this looks like a horse right in the middle of his best spell.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Jul
🏆 Won
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
12 Jul
🏆 Won
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
19 Jun
2nd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
27 May
🏆 Won
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
14 May
2nd
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
17 Mar
3rd
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
31 Dec
DNF
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
16 Nov
6th
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
9 Sep
7th
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
17 Feb
8th
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Harry Skelton Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newton Abbot
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 27 May 50%
Fontwell Park
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 14 May 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 win 12 Jul 100%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Jul 100%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Jan 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Nov 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Feb 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 second 19 Jun 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 31 Dec 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 third 17 Mar 0%