UK time :
Tomorrow 30 Results 47

Thirsk

·
Applebridge Group Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Awaiting result
Flat race · weights set to make it fair Underrated horse: Pinatique +1 About 1.8 miles Good ground Standard race 7 runners £5,234 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.

40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
1 Pinatique Underrated horse
L. Morris · S. Mark Prescott Bt · 4yo · 10st 2lb · Official rating 85
£1 wins £3.50 · 25 Strong chance
S. Mark Prescott Bt has won 19.9% of their races in their career
Form
25
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 7/2
£1 wins £3.50 · 25 Strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer overall starts ✓ Trainer wins at this course ✓ Field size
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • S. Mark Prescott Bt has won 19.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • S. Mark Prescott Bt has a good 23% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • No wins in their last 1 races. Recent form has been patchy.
TrackLab Insight
One race in and she's already facing a step up—fourth at Newbury is not a terrible debut, but this is notably stronger. She's never raced on normal ground and remains unproven; Sir Mark Prescott's yard is firing this season, but she carries top weight and drifting odds (2.9) suggest the market is cooling on her chances in a competitive field.
Never raced on normal ground Lightly raced (1 career races) Market favourite (2.9)
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs)
Why this score
  • R. Varian wins 19.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • R. Varian wins 21.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • R. Dawson has a 4.5% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
TrackLab Insight
He was beaten 8.8 lengths here just 21 days ago and has won only once in seven races, yet he's the only horse in the field with a winning record on normal ground (1 from 3). That single advantage may matter; his form is erratic and he struggles on left-handed galloping tracks like this one, making him a risky proposition despite the ground angle.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)
Why this score
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
  • C. Horgan has a 5.3% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at 25% (1 in 4), but recent form is soft—fourth at Carlisle 17 days ago, fifth at York before that—and he's yet to win on left-handed galloping tracks despite five attempts. This is his first outing with jockey Cian Horgan; the lack of partnership history adds uncertainty to a horse whose momentum has stalled.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • M. Todhunter has won 9.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • M. Todhunter has a 6.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field with a winning record at this exact distance (1 from 6 at 1m 6f) and she's 10 pounds below the field average, carrying the lightest weight. At eight years old she's reliable—4 wins from 33 races—but recent form shows 3-2-2, all narrow things, and she's never won on good-to-soft ground like today; her experience here is genuine, but so is her inconsistency at the top level.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below average Carries lowest weight in field Only winner at this distance Best record at this trip (1 from 6)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 90 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • This is a 3yo+ race, and the entry rules are not a natural fit. Sometimes horses end up in races that do not quite suit them.
TrackLab Insight
Absent for 90 days—the longest gap in the field—and winless from 7 races, though a recent third at Beverley offers slight encouragement. A horse without a racecourse win tested against proven competitors after an extended break is a tough sell, especially from the outer draw.
Absent 90 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
  • Its average finish over the last three races is 3. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick has the strongest pedigree here—45 races, 8 wins (18%), and a proper three-race top-three sequence that shows genuine recent form. But he's been off 54 days and his record on fast ground is blank (0 from 4); at Thirsk on normal conditions with no course form listed, this is a gamble on momentum rather than a proven route to the frame.
Most experienced (45 runs, field avg 16) 3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • M. Todhunter wins 9.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • A 6.9% record at this course for M. Todhunter. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The editorial rates him the chief threat, yet his odds have drifted hard (18.5) and his last race was a 7th at Newcastle 34 days ago. He wins roughly 1 in 7 outings and has placed well, but normal ground and Thirsk are not proven hunting grounds—this feels like the market knows something about his suitability here that his record doesn't immediately reveal.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
More at Thirsk on Friday ?