Thirsk
·
Work Matters Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 1/8
£1 wins 13p · 81 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- R. Varian wins 21.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- R. Varian wins only 21.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Perfect record from one race — won on debut at Ffos Las just 24 days ago and is back out already, suggesting the trainer sees genuine potential. As the market favourite and the only proven winner in this field, Wootz has every reason to be short odds, though racing the same horse twice in three weeks is an unusual ask for a three-year-old.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Market favourite (1.25)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £16.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 12.4% overall win rate for C. Johnston. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 12.4% overall win rate for C. Johnston. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- The 3yo+ entry rules do not quite suit this horse. That does not rule it out, but it is not ideal.
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut with an elite pedigree: by Frankel out of a Siyouni mare, two world-class sires that suggest this filly carries serious class potential. The second-shortest odds in the field at 9.4 reflect that bloodline quality, but she is untested and unproven on the track.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £251.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 5.5% overall win rate for C. Hardie. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 3.2% record at this course for C. Hardie. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
TrackLab Insight
Seven races, zero wins, but the recent form tells a story of recovery: after a rough patch in the middle, Rua Mor has settled into consistent placed finishes, including two fifth-place efforts in the last three races. This four-year-old is the only horse in the field with genuine racecourse mileage and recent activity, though winning remains elusive.
Mid-range in the market (55.0)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- M. Hammond has a 3.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
One race on the clock, one placing — third at Pontefract 60 days ago — with no wins to show for it. At 6 years old with minimal racecourse experience and a two-month layoff, this horse is lightly raced even by the standards of this debut-heavy field.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Goldie wins 9.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- With a 10.3% win rate overall, J. Mason is one of the more dependable riders.
- An 11.7% record at this course for J. Goldie. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Making a racecourse debut with a high-class pedigree: by Gleneagles out of a Fastnet Rock mare, both sires known for producing fast, classy runners. The bloodline suggests genuine quality, but this is complete speculation until we see the horse run for real.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 11.2% overall win rate for B. Ellison. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- B. Ellison wins 11.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- B. Ellison wins only 9.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old making their racecourse debut is a red flag — most horses run their first race years earlier, raising questions about why this one has waited so long. With no form to judge and the least experienced profile in a field full of newcomers, this is a genuine shot in the dark from the Brian Ellison yard.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- L. Young wins 20% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- J. Goldie wins only 11.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Another Gleneagles-sired debutant, this one carrying a Exceed And Excel mare in the pedigree — a different cross that blends speed with stamina. Trained by Jim Goldie (35 wins from 249 races with jockey Lauren Young), the yard has solid form, but there is no form to judge on the racecourse yet.
Outsider at 55.0
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- With £5,234 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- S. Whitaker has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, two blanks — finished ninth most recently and tenth before that — without ever finding the winner's enclosure or a placing. At 130.0 odds and with a zero-win record, this three-year-old is the longest shot in the field and has yet to show anything competitive on the track.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
8
League Of Justice
£1 wins £125 · 1 Long shot
Very little experience on today's ground
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 17.3% overall win rate for C. Whiteley. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 4.3% record at this course for G. Tutty. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
One race on record, one sixth-place finish 17 days ago at Hamilton — no wins, no places, but the trainer (Gemma Tutty) has 20 winners already this season. This three-year-old is lightly raced and unproven, though the yard behind it carries genuine form credentials.
Lightly raced (1 career races)