Stratford

The standout course specialist in this field — she's the only runner who has won here at Stratford, doing it twice from seven visits, and she has also won over this exact distance. She wins roughly 1 in 8 races across her career, the best record in the field, but there's a glaring problem: she has never won on the dry ground she'll face today, going winless in seven attempts on similar conditions. Fourth here just 13 days ago suggests she's in the mix, but the ground is working against her.

The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 39 races compared to a field average of 20 — but rated 15 pounds below the average, which tells its own story. Her best form comes on wet ground, yet today's conditions are dry, and she's recorded no wins on fast ground across three attempts. Sixth here at Stratford just 13 days ago, beaten nearly nine lengths, there's little in the recent evidence to suggest she can turn it around today.

Joint top-rated on the editorial figures alongside Pure Logic and Miss Kassiopi, yet the market has her out at 14.0, suggesting punters aren't convinced. She was fifth here at Stratford just 13 days ago, beaten six and a half lengths, and her recent form — which also includes a pulled up run — doesn't inspire confidence. At eight years old, she's a veteran of 25 races with two wins, and there's little in the data to suggest today will be different.

The editorial selection and joint top-rated in the field, yet she has never won in 10 career races — so punters are being asked to trust the ratings rather than the results. Like the favourite, she has never raced on dry ground, which adds a layer of uncertainty to her chances today. She's drifted significantly in the market from favourite to 9.0, which is a notable warning sign.