The top-rated horse in the field by a clear 15 points, and he finished second at Worcester just 25 days ago, so he arrives in decent nick. He is stepping up two classes today, which is a significant ask, and his record on left-handed galloping tracks is zero wins from five attempts — Stratford fits that profile. At 3.5, he is the only realistic danger to the favourite, but those course-type stats are a genuine red flag.
Top rated by 15lbsSteps up 2 classes
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"He won his maiden at Punchestown before finishing fifth in the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket. He's ready to start at a mile or a mile and a quarter and we think he could get further in time. 07-04-25"
Dropping in classWearing tongue strapFresh (99 days off)Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The clear market favourite at 1.65, Gambino has the best win rate in the field — taking 1 from 5 career races while placing in nearly all of them — and is partnered by Harry Skelton, one of the sport's most in-demand jockeys. The concern is real, though: he has never raced on dry ground, and his last run ended in a distant seventh at Musselburgh 99 days ago. His odds have drifted sharply from 1.1, which means the betting market has cooled on him despite him still being the one to beat.
Steps up 2 classesNever raced on dry groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 5)Market favourite (1.65)
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 37 races compared to a field average of 10 — and he was actually second here at Stratford just 12 days ago, so he knows the track well. However, his record on dry ground and on left-handed sharp tracks like this one is worryingly poor: zero wins from those conditions. At 9.8, punters aren't convinced he can turn that around today.
Most experienced (37 runs, field avg 10)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2024
"He's been one of our big success stories over the last 12 months. We bought him when he was rated 74 and he won four of his first five starts for us and went up to a career-high mark of 100 by the end of the all-weather season. It took him a while to get into gear on the turf but he ran his best race yet on the grass at Doncaster this month. That showed us he can compete in good races on the turf as well. He's going to go for the Cambridgeshire on Saturday. He's in good form and hasn't had a busy summer and it's brilliant prize-money and a fantastic race to have a runner in. It's a bit of a free hit. Away from that, he'll be working back from the Easter Classic, in which he was second last season. We'll be looking at some of the better all-weather prizes that will get him qualified for finals day. Hopefully he can go one better this time. 26-09-24"
Six races, zero wins, and his last three have all been at Stratford without anything to show for it — including a run 12 days ago that ended without completing the course. There is nothing in the form to suggest today will be different, and at 26.0 the market agrees. He is one of the less experienced runners here but has had enough chances to prove himself.
The biggest outsider in the race at 151.0, and her recent record makes that price hard to argue with — she was pulled up here at Stratford just 26 days ago, and before that finished second but was beaten 76 lengths. Four races into her career, she has yet to win and has shown little to suggest a first victory is coming here. The data is thin, but what there is points firmly in the wrong direction.
Four races, four finishes in the bottom half, and two heavy beatings of over 37 lengths at Worcester in the last month — there is very little to encourage here. He has never raced on dry ground, adding another unknown into the mix. The one positive is that he is trained by Dan Skelton, the same yard as race favourite Gambino, but this horse is a 71.0 shot for good reason.
The data here is bleak: four races, zero wins, zero places, and two recent runs that ended with the horse being pulled up before the finish. He has also been off the track for 232 days — the longest absence in this field — and has never raced on dry ground. At odds of 201.0, the market is telling you everything you need to know.
Never raced on dry groundAbsent 232 days (longest in field)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.