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Southwell

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Southwell (AW)
Awaiting result
Flat race · weights set to make it fair About 1 mile Standard all-weather surface Entry-level race 12 runners
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • R. Burdon has a good 22.2% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • R. Burdon's horses finish their races 66.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • P. Edwards has a 4.2% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 133 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • S. Ender's horses finish their races 100% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • A 6.2% record at this course for S. Ender. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 166 days off Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • R. Carr's runners finish 25% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 126 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • P. Kirby's horses finish their races 45.5% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • C. Hardie has a 4.6% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • R. Hannon's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • R. Hannon has a good 14.4% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Jockey in form (3 wins in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • J. Butler's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
  • J. Butler has a 7.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Won here 4 times Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • M. Herrington's horses finish their races 63.6% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Has raced 28 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • Has won 4 times at this course from 20 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • J. Ramsden's runners finish 57.1% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • T. Langley wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs)
Why this score
  • J. Camacho's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • J. Macey's horses finish their races 100% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • J. Macey has a 6.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 4 times
Why this score
  • J. Butler's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • J. Callan wins 20% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • J. Butler wins only 7.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 1 of last 5 Won here 5 times Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • S. Dixon's horses finish their races 16.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • The 4yo+ entry rules work in this horse's favour. A well-chosen race suggests a trainer with a plan.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 39 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Southwell on Tuesday ?