The real story, though, is what happens when Soames Forsyte gets to Nottingham. At that track, it has won 2 of its 3 races—a win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. That is the kind of statistic that catches a trainer's eye: a horse that plainly suits the course, the ground conditions there, or something about the layout. Michael Herrington, who trains Soames Forsyte from his Willoughton yard in Lincolnshire, will be well aware of it. Herrington's yard has sent out 33 winners this season, a solid operation, and the horse remains an active runner—it raced just a day ago.
There is also a partnership worth noting with jockey Dylan Hogan. When Hogan rides Soames Forsyte, the results improve noticeably: 4 wins from 19 races together, a 21% win rate. That is nearly double the horse's overall record, which suggests either that Hogan knows how to get the best from it or that he rides it when conditions are favourable. Either way, if Hogan is booked for Nottingham, the odds are worth watching.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell Galloping |
26 | 4 wins, 2 seconds, 5 thirds, 15 other | 31 Aug | 15.4% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
7 | 1 win, 1 second, 5 other | 2 Jan | 14.3% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
3 | 2 wins, 1 other | 2 Oct | 66.7% |
| Beverley Undulating |
3 | 1 third, 2 other | 24 Aug | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
3 | 3 other | 28 Jun | 0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
2 | 2 other | 15 Jun | 0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 22 Sep | 0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 16 Apr | 0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 16 Aug | 0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
1 | 1 second | 10 Oct | 0% |
| Wetherby Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 27 Apr | 0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 2 Nov | 0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 12 Aug | 0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 | 1 third | 4 Apr | 0% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 5 Aug | 0% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 12 May | 0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 31 Oct | 0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 19 Jul | 0% |