Southwell
·
Southwell (AW)
Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Shaw's horses finish their races 66.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- 4 wins from 18 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
£1 wins £4 · 11 Could surprise
M. & David Easterby's runners finish 53.8% of their races
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. & David Easterby's runners finish 53.8% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- B. Garritty wins only 6.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 8 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- P. Midgley's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- P. Midgley wins only 6.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Brittain's runners finish 45.5% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A. Brittain has a 6.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Midgley's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- A low win rate on this ground from 11 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- P. Midgley wins only 6.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Dods's runners finish 80% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Has run 4 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 35 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
£1 wins £5.50 · 9 Could surprise
K. Ryan's horses finish their races 66.7% of the time
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Ryan's horses finish their races 66.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Stall 11 is a worry. At some courses, some starting stalls are a big disadvantage.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Wallis's horses finish 25% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- A 14.9% overall win rate for T. Marquand. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 33 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Dixon's runners finish 16.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- A low win rate on this ground from 8 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A 6.5% record at this course for S. Dixon. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Dixon's horses finish their races 16.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has raced 9 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Stall 12 is a worry. At some courses, some starting stalls are a big disadvantage.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- A Class 5 race is the right level for this horse. Running at the right level matters a lot.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fillys Last Lady
£1 wins £25 · 4 Long shot
G. Harrison's horses finish their races 33.3% of the time
4
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Harrison's horses finish their races 33.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- G. Harrison wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.