Sedgefield
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Fairlight Studios Cafe @ Sedgefield Racecourse Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Starts in
3h 16min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 10/11
£1 wins 91p · 50% chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.91 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton has a good 25% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Handles this ground well, with 43% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- D. Skelton wins only 25% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Edelak is the standout here on form and class—a sharp hitter who wins roughly 2 out of every 5 races and holds a 17lb rating advantage over his rivals. His record on normal ground is excellent (3 wins from 7 runs), and he's proven at this 2m 4f distance, but a 47-length defeat at Chepstow just 8 days ago is a red flag that suggests he may not be at peak sharpness right now despite stepping up in class to take on weaker opposition.
Top rated by 17lbs
Steps up 3 classes
Best record on this ground (3 from 7)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.83 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Snowden has a good 23.5% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Tommy Pickles comes here as the favourite and the only horse in the field with a proven win at this exact distance (1 from 3 at 2m 4f), but there's a major concern: he hasn't raced for 211 days, by far the longest absence in the field. His career record is modest at 1 win from 5 races, though he has finished in the top 3 on three other occasions, which suggests he belongs at this level even if he hasn't always won.
Only winner at this distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Absent 211 days (longest in field)
Market favourite (11/10)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 7 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This is a 3-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- D. Thompson wins 5.3% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Rock Armour is the most experienced runner with 30 races under his belt, but the numbers are brutal: just 1 win in his entire career and 0 wins in his last 20 races. He fell at Hexham 8 days ago and has never won on good or soft ground, which makes his prospects here extremely difficult despite a finishing third at this track 39 days ago.
Most experienced (30 runs, field avg 16)