Sedgefield
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Celebrating 40 Years Of Vickers Bookmakers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase
Starts in
3h 4min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 6/4
£1 wins £1.50 · 33% chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- Today's race is over 2m 5f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- A 0% record at this course for C. Collins. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 6/4 after finally landing his breakthrough win at Hexham just 16 days ago—eight races into his career, so this is genuinely untested territory for him. He's won 1 from 8 overall and 1 from 5 on good ground; the maiden win is eye-catching, but it's impossible yet to know whether it signals a real change or simply relief after a long wait.
Market favourite (6/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 2m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- Not enough recent runners for D. Thompson to judge their current form.
TrackLab Insight
Hot off back-to-back wins at Hexham and Cartmel, he arrives with real momentum and three straight top-3 finishes. The key to his form is the ground—on normal conditions he wins roughly one race in every five (3 from 14), yet he's never won on faster, firmer going; today's normal ground should suit him perfectly, though he's struggled on left-handed tracks like this one.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 10 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- D. Sayer has a 13.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Rated underrated despite being the lowest-rated horse in the field and carrying the lightest weight—she's never won a race, but she's finished in the frame in more than a third of her 14 outings (5 top-3 finishes), and her form at Cartmel has been steady if unspectacular. The data is thin, and a 14-race maiden is a serious concern, though her jockey and trainer combination has won three from nine together.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
£1 wins £7.50 · 12% chance
A low win rate on this ground from 11 previous runs
12%
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 11 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- 5 wins from 19 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in this field—he's won five times at Sedgefield from 20 attempts, a 25% win rate that explains why his trainer keeps coming back. He's also the only winner at this exact distance and holds the strongest record on soft ground (4 from 9); the danger is his complete blank on faster, drier going, and his recent form here reads mixed (2nd, 7th, and a refusal).
Only course winner (5 from 19 here)
Only winner at this distance
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 6)
7
Path of Stars
£1 wins £8 · 12% chance
This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse
12%
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- S. Mullins wins 16.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A weight disadvantage of 9.2 lbs compared with the average for this race. Racing is decided by small margins, and weight matters.
TrackLab Insight
A consistent performer who finished in the frame twice in her last three races—she's finished in the top 3 in roughly half her career outings (10 from 19) but won only once in May 2026. Her recent form has been almost entirely at Cartmel, and she carries 50 days' absence into this race; while her record suggests she'll be competitive in a frame finish, converting that into a win remains unproven at this distance.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Williams has a good 36% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Has raced 9 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A 1.8% career win rate for Mr T. Walsh. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Just broke his duck at the 20th attempt, landing his maiden win in December—a positive sign, but just one win from 20 races tells you this is a horse who struggles. He's picked up two third-place finishes in his last three outings, which is something, yet his record on both soft and firm ground is blank, and he's never won on a left-handed galloping track like Sedgefield.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 5.2% career win rate for L. Kerr. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Rated underrated by the market despite finishing second by just 1.5 lengths at Hexham 16 days ago—he's won two of his 25 races overall, but his record in Class 4 (2 from 6) suggests he has genuine ability at the right level. The worry is his complete blank on soft or good-to-soft ground; if conditions here lean that way, he'll need perfect circumstances.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 2m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A 6.5% record at this course for H. Hogarth. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in the field by 5lbs but drifted dramatically in the market—hard to know how much of that reflects genuine doubt or just uncertainty about his 296-day absence. He owns the best record on normal ground in this field (1 from 4), though that single win came over a year ago at Fontwell; returning after three months off is a real worry, and his last outing here ended in a pulled-up.
Top rated by 5lbs
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Absent 296 days (longest in field)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating