Sedgefield
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Bet Vickers Durham National Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Starts in
4h 4min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 6/4
£1 wins £1.50 · 35% chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 23.8% win rate at this course for M. Bowen. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- 3m 5f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- An average finish of 1.3 over recent runs. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Dexperts Opinion is the market favourite at 11/4 and has won two of his three career races—a remarkable 67% win rate—including a victory at Worcester just this week. This is a lightly raced six-year-old hitting top form at exactly the right time, and he has finished in the top 3 in all three outings. The main risk is that three races is a tiny sample and he has never been tested at this level or distance before.
Best record on this ground (2 from 3)
Lightly raced (3 career races)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (11/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 3m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 20% win rate from 5 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
Red Delta has been away for 26 weeks—longer than any rival—and returns after a string of poor efforts including an 11th place finish. He wins roughly 1 in 5 races on his day and showed some spark on good-to-soft ground, but the lack of recent racing and absence of a win in nearly half a year make him a serious question mark. The fact he finished 6th on his last outing does not inspire confidence.
Absent 186 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 3m 5f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- With an 11.8% win rate overall, J. England is one of the more dependable riders.
- Its average finish over the last three races is 2. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.
TrackLab Insight
Passengerontheship is the lowest-rated runner, carries the least weight, and is a significant drop in class here—yet he arrives with three straight 2nd place finishes, all beaten by short margins of 1-2.5 lengths. He wins roughly 1 in 4 races and excels on good ground, but he has never won on good-to-soft conditions and struggles on left-handed sharp tracks like this one. The close defeats suggest he is not quite finding the required extra gear.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Drops 2 classes from usual level
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 3m 5f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- J. Tudor wins 35.7% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Has raced 7 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
TrackLab Insight
Ki Woo wins roughly 1 in 3 races—the best win rate in this field—and raced just yesterday, showing he's sharp and ready. He was only beaten half a length at Uttoxeter 16 weeks ago and won at Cartmel before that, so he carries genuine form into this Class 2. The slight weight disadvantage and longer absence than some rivals are his only concerns against a genuinely proven competitor.
Top rated by 3lbs
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 3m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- Has had 40 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- Has won 2 times at this course from 3 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
TrackLab Insight
Ivane has won at Sedgefield before and knows this track, which is his only real advantage as he wins only 1 in 8 races overall. He has struggled badly on soft ground in the past and carries a run at Uttoxeter 15 weeks ago with an unknown result, making him a frustrating puzzle. His recent form shows two 4th place finishes over 16+ lengths beaten, suggesting he is not in a winning frame of mind.
Has won over this course and distance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Williams wins 36% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- A. Wedge has a good 23.6% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- There is little recent data for C. Williams's stable. It is hard to judge their current form.
TrackLab Insight
Fever Dream won at Warwick just this week and raced yesterday, so he is active and in some form with two wins in his last six outings. He wins roughly 1 in 5 races and shows excellent form on fast ground, but he has not won on anything softer than good-to-firm conditions and the field here includes horses with stronger credentials. His record of 5 wins from 28 races marks him as competitive rather than exceptional.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An experienced horse with 47 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- Today's race is over 3m 5f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- A low win rate on this ground from 22 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
TrackLab Insight
Tommie Beau is the course winner here—he won at Sedgefield in October 2023—and has the most experience in the field with 47 career races behind him. At 11 years old he still wins roughly 1 in 4 races, but he shows a real vulnerability on left-handed galloping tracks like this one, with no wins in seven attempts at that track type. His recent form is moderate and jockey Benjamin Macey has never ridden for this trainer before.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (2 from 8)
Most experienced (47 runs, field avg 22)