Sedgefield
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Starts in
5h 4min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 9/4
£1 wins £2.25 · 26% chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton wins 25% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Handles this ground well, with 67% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- Its average finish over the last three races is 3. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 15/8 with the best career win rate in the field (roughly 2 wins every 5 races) and has landed two wins at Cartmel in the past two months, showing real momentum. Ideal here: thrives on good ground (2 from 3) and loves this distance (67% win rate over 2m+), making him the clear threat to Williethebuilder.
Best record on this ground (2 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Market favourite (15/8)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. McMenamin wins 14.4% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A. Hamilton has won 16.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- An average finish of 3 over recent runs. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A course winner (1 from 4 at Sedgefield) who has been running well without winning recently — two seconds in the past six months — and finished 5th at Hexham just 16 days ago. The combination of course familiarity and consistent near-misses makes him an each-way candidate, though he hasn't won since an early season success in Class 4.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 33.3% win rate at this course for L. Hughes. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 40% win rate from 10 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
TrackLab Insight
A genuine Sedgefield specialist with 2 wins from 4 here and has won this exact course and distance before, making him a real contender despite middling overall form. He beat just one horse when 4th at Kelso 14 days ago, but his 40% win rate on good ground and proven record at this track give him a legitimate chance — underrated at 9/2.
Course specialist (2 wins from 4 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (2 from 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 36% win rate at this course for C. Williams. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Wins 30% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- C. Williams has a 9.4% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 16 pounds and the editorial selection, but returns after 197 days away — the longest absence in the field — and his last two runs (7th and 18th) suggest he may need the outing to find his feet. He excels on good ground (3 wins from 10 starts) and has the credentials on paper, but the long layoff and recent dull form create genuine question marks over whether he'll deliver his rating.
Top rated by 16lbs
Absent 197 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With 54 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 21 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- S. England wins 12.2% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner (54 races) won a Class 2 at Market Rasen in September, but has pulled up in both recent starts and finished 8th before that, painting a picture of a horse struggling for form. Limited recent data and a poor record on this track's right-handed gallop are significant concerns.
Most experienced (54 runs, field avg 26)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has an official rating of 105. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- J. Bedi has a 3.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse in the field and owns just a 10% win rate across 20 races, making him a clear outsider on raw numbers.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below average
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Rated 112 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- J. Hamilton wins 8.9% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- O. Pears wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Ran 2nd at Sedgefield just 39 days ago (beaten 1.2 lengths) and has excellent form on good ground (7 wins from 23 starts, 30%), but the data from her most recent run 17 days ago is unknown, making it difficult to assess her current condition. Her track record here and ground preference are genuine positives, though her struggles on variations of good ground (0 wins from 8 starts on firmer or softer) could matter if conditions shift.
One of the more successful in the field (8 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has won here 2 times in 5 visits. That record at this course is a good sign.
- The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
- P. Kirby's horses finish only 18% of their races. A low number can point to fitness or preparation problems.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field and has won twice from 5 races at Sedgefield, but his recent form is alarming: 7th here 11 days ago (beaten 38.8 lengths) and 7th at Perth before that. His excellent record on soft ground and at Catterick Bridge are irrelevant in a race on good ground at a different track, and he looks out of form.
Carries lowest weight in field
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Davidson wins 19.4% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 45% win rate from 11 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- 27 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
Has won 7 races from 30 starts and boasts an excellent 45% win rate on good ground, but crashed to 11th (beaten 62 lengths) at Hamilton 27 days ago in what looks like an unexplained poor run. His pedigree suggests he could bounce back, though recent form is a concern.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)