Jumps race · low hurdles · weighted to be fairUnderrated horse: Limerick LassAbout 2.5 milesGood groundHigh-level race8 runners£13,202 prize moneyE/W:also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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✓ Horse record at this distance✓ Field size✓ Rating vs field
Wearing tongue strapBack after 207 days offWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeLikes this ground (wins 67% of runs)
Why this score
+No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
+This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
−T. Bellamy has an 11.8% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
White Noise sits top of the weights for good reason: she wins roughly 1 in 2 races, an extraordinary win rate that towers over this field. She's the course favourite at 21/10, has won 2 of her last 3 races, and with Tom Bellamy in the saddle (67% combined win rate together) she shapes as the one to beat on normal ground at Sandown.
Top rated by 15lbsBest record on this ground (2 from 3)Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)Market favourite (21/10)
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
−Has had 18 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
TrackLab Insight
Just A Glance wins roughly 2 in every 5 races—a 40% win rate that ranks second only to White Noise in this field. She's finished in the top 3 in 2 of her last 3 runs and was only beaten 9.5 lengths 18 days ago, making her a serious live contender at 13/2 despite the odds drift.
Won 2 of last 5Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)
Why this score
+An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
+L. Wadham wins 14.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
−Stepping up to a harder race today. As with any step up, the question is whether the horse is good enough for this level.
TrackLab Insight
Rialannah wins roughly 1 in 10 races and has managed just one top-3 finish in her last six runs, finishing 4th at Market Rasen most recently. She does have a good record on firm ground (2 wins from 8), but normal conditions at Sandown sit in an awkward middle ground where she has shown no wins from 13 starts on good-to-soft or soft surfaces.
Stepping up to a harder raceBack after 335 days offWon 2 of last 5
Why this score
+A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
+Today's ground is Good, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
−Has not raced for 335 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
Queen's Theatre has won 2 of her only 3 races (67% win rate), but she's been off for 335 days—the longest absence in the field—and drops two classes from her usual level, suggesting the yard see her needing an easier opportunity. At just five years old and returning from such a long layoff, the fitness question is substantial even if the raw form figures look bright.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below averageDrops 2 classes from usual levelLightly raced (3 career races)Absent 335 days (longest in field)
Wearing tongue strapWon 2 of last 5Likes this ground (wins 29% of runs)
Why this score
+This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+A 20.1% overall win rate for H. Fry. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
−Up against stronger rivals than before. Moving up to a harder race tests whether a horse is improving.
TrackLab Insight
Miss Goldfire has five wins from 22 races and a solid partnership with Ciaran O'Shea (36% combined win rate), but her last three runs show a 4-2-1 pattern that suggests she's in and out of form. A bigger concern: she has no wins on good-to-soft ground and struggles on right-handed galloping tracks—both potential issues at Sandown.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
+This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+E. Lavelle wins 13.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
−This type of ground has not suited the horse: 25 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
TrackLab Insight
Porter In The Park is the most experienced horse here with 35 races under her belt, but at nine years old she's also the oldest and her win rate of 1 in 9 sits well below the field average. She did finish 2nd at Huntingdon 11 days ago, but her longer-term form and poor record on good-to-soft ground make her an unlikely winner.
+B. Hughes has won 15% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
−Last raced 23 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
TrackLab Insight
Karoline Banbou has won just once in 12 races and finished outside the top 3 in her last two outings, beaten decisively both times. At 40/1, she looks like a horse still searching for consistency after that sole breakthrough in February, with no wins on good-to-yielding or yielding ground to suggest today's normal conditions will reverse recent form.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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