Rialannah

Those two career wins have both come in the last few weeks, both at Fakenham, and both on normal ground. That last detail matters. On normal conditions, Rialannah wins 2 from 7 races — that's a 29% win rate, nearly 1 in 3, which is a completely different animal to her overall record. It suggests she's not a horse who struggles; she's a horse who has been finding life harder than it needs to be when the ground isn't right for her. Get the conditions she likes, and she becomes genuinely competitive.

The Fakenham double is worth noting on its own. Winning twice at the same track in the space of three weeks isn't a coincidence — it points to a horse that suits the track's particular quirks, whether that's the tight turns, the flat terrain, or simply the atmosphere of a smaller, friendlier venue. She raced just one day ago, so she's firmly in the thick of a purple patch right now.

There is one puzzle in the data, and it's a significant one. Her most regular jockey, Nick Scholfield, has ridden her five times without a single win together. Yet those two victories have come — so someone else was in the saddle for them. That's the kind of statistic that makes a trainer think carefully about their next booking.

Lucy Wadham, based in Newmarket, has sent out 18 winners this season, so this is a yard in good form and clearly not short of confidence. The one thing that might give a casual observer pause is that Rialannah has never won at Class 4 — the level she races at most often, going 0 from 11 at that grade. Her wins have come elsewhere. Whether she can translate this current form into success at that higher level of competition is the next question worth watching.