Sandown
·
Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Starts in
19h 8min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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34
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 13/8
£1 wins £1.63 · 34 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- A. King has won 14.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 13.7% record at this course for A. King. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 7/4, a five-year-old making his debut for Alan King's yard, which has already saddled 57 winners this season — a strong signal that horses are arriving race-fit. Drawn in stall 5 (mid-draw, 24% win rate), he's better positioned than the low-draw runners but offers no form evidence to justify favourite status. Wind surgery noted in his profile.
Racecourse debut
Market favourite (7/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- A. Wintle wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The only runner with racecourse experience here — though it's minimal at just one race, which produced no top-three finish. He's been off 252 days (longest absence in the field) and has never raced on normal ground before, making this a fresh test. Stall 4 sits in the mid-draw zone with a 24% historical win rate, giving him better track positioning than the low-draw runners.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 252 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- H. Fry wins 20.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- H. Fry wins only 14.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Another four-year-old debut runner, but this one has a significant advantage: Bryan Carver and Harry Fry combine at a strong 42 wins from 206 races together, suggesting a yard that knows how to prepare horses. Drawn in stall 2 (also a low-draw slot with 4% historical win rate), so he'll need more than yard form to overcome the track bias here.
Racecourse debut
£1 wins £7.50 · 10 Could surprise
T. Ellis wins 33.3% of their races at this course
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Ellis wins 33.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old filly on debut with the strong yard support of Tom Ellis, who has 33 wins from 238 races with Jack Andrews — solid credentials for a trainer-jockey team. Drawn in stall 7 (high-draw zone with 44% historical win rate), giving her a significant advantage over most of the field. Also carries the lightest weight at 149lbs, but debuts offer no form guarantee.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- K. Woods wins 11.9% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Jumping is a weakness. In jumps racing, poor jumping loses ground and confidence.
TrackLab Insight
Four-year-old debut runner with only modest yard credentials — Kielan Woods and Nick Scholfield have managed 5 wins from 13 races together. Stall 3 puts him in the low-draw zone where winners are rare at this course and distance (4% over 27 races). No form to work with on debut.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- A 16.5% overall win rate for S. Mullins. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old making his racecourse debut is already running late to the game — most horses have dozens of races by this age. No form to assess whatsoever, and he's drawn in stall 1, which comes with a 4% win rate from this course and distance over 27 races. Solid bloodlines by Shirocco, but this is uncharted territory.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £36.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- With an 8.4% win rate overall, M. Goldstein is one of the more dependable riders.
- K. Jewell has a 4.2% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old filly making her debut is already unusual — most run much younger — and she's paired with a trainer-jockey combo (Karen Jewell and Marc Goldstein) that has only 3 wins from 39 races. Drawn in stall 6 (mid-draw, 24% win rate) but carries just 149lbs, the least weight in the field. No form whatsoever.
Racecourse debut
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.