Sandown
·
Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race
Starts in
15h 48min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 11/4
£1 wins £2.75 · 24 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 20% win rate from 5 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated at 129, but his last three runs tell a story of decline—21st at Cheltenham, 12th at Aintree, then 3rd at Uttoxeter 168 days ago—and his 15% win rate from 20 races shows he's never been a prolific winner. The established partnership with his trainer (6 wins from 43 together) offers some encouragement, but recent form has dried up significantly.
2nd highest rated (OR 129)
£1 wins £2.50 · 24 Strong chance
This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse
24
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- 28 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 9/4 with a proven record on soft ground (2 wins from 8 starts), but he ran fifth at Chepstow 28 days ago and hasn't won for over two and a half years despite 20 career races (15% win rate). His best recent performance was a second-place finish at this very track 246 days ago, and the drifting odds from 1/10 suggest confidence may be waning despite the favourite tag.
Market favourite (9/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Last raced 29 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
- A 0% record at this course for M. Bowen. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The standout talent here: a 33% win rate (5 from 15) who is the only winner at this distance in the field and has recorded 3 straight top-3 finishes until a poor 13th at Chepstow 29 days ago. She's a strong specialist on normal ground (4 wins from 9 starts, 44%) and finished second by just 3.2 lengths at Perth 46 days ago, suggesting recent form may mask underlying ability.
Only winner at this distance
Best record on this ground (4 from 9)
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- Stepping up to a harder race today. As with any step up, the question is whether the horse is good enough for this level.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated runner in the field (110, some 13 pounds below average) but carries the lowest weight as compensation, and he's shown decent recent form with a win at Fontwell 63 days ago followed by two near-miss finishes (5th, 3rd). His 7% win rate from 27 races is poor, and he's struggled on right-handed tracks (0 wins from 8), which matters less at Sandown; on normal ground specifically he has one win from six attempts (17%).
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
£1 wins £6.50 · 10 Could surprise
A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Came 15th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
TrackLab Insight
A six-year-old with four career wins from 34 races (12% win rate) who just ran 15th at Chepstow 30 days ago, beaten 52 lengths—a heavy defeat that undermines confidence despite a third-place finish two weeks earlier. She's meeting normal ground for the first time, a condition under which she has no proven record, making this a significant test after poor runs on soft, good, and yielding surfaces.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- A 7.6% career win rate for M. Crawley. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
A ten-year-old who wins roughly 1 in 4 races and has thrived on wet or muddy ground (5 wins from 12 starts combined), but has never raced on normal ground before—a significant unknown at age and fitness. After 207 days away with three pulled-up finishes, he's returning from a long layoff at a huge price (35/1) despite carrying the second-highest weight in the field; the drifting odds suggest the market is skeptical of his comeback credentials.
Never raced on normal ground
Absent 207 days (longest in field)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.