Won 0 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Second-rated at OR 85 and closest to Betsen, with the crucial advantage of a matching 25% win rate on normal ground (2 from 8 races). Recent form is weak though—seventh at Windsor just three weeks ago—and the horse has now gone five races without a win; at 5.5, represents the obvious outsider threat if form reverses but not a confident pick.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 3.35 despite a thin record—one win from six races—but has placed in two of the last three runs including a near-miss (beaten 0.3L) at Newbury a fortnight ago. The problem: zero wins on normal ground across three attempts, and that one career victory came at Southwell months ago; the market is pricing hope rather than hard form.
Fresh (110 days off)Won 1 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The longest absentee in the field at 110 days away, which is a red flag for consistency, though the 17% career win rate (4 from 24) reads better than the recent form suggests. Draws stall 1 (14% win rate at this track for low draws) but has never won here across five attempts, and the ninth-place finish at Newmarket just a week ago signals he's not firing yet.
Wearing visorWon 3 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The standout talent here—just three years old with a 33% career win rate (4 from 12), best in the field, and won twice in the past two months at Newmarket and Windsor. The red flag is a massive 75% win rate on good-to-firm ground but zero wins on normal ground (0 from 5), exactly the conditions today, and a ninth at Goodwood a month ago shows he's not untouchable.
Fresh (82 days off)Won 0 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 6 times
TrackLab Insight
Seven-year-old with a 50% win rate at five furlongs (6 from 12 races), the strongest record for this specific distance, but his overall form is weak—18th at Ripon two weeks ago and hasn't won in recent months. Lower rated (OR 76, well below average) and zero wins on good-to-firm ground, he's likely too high in class for this field despite his trip expertise.
Best record at this trip (6 from 12)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2024
"He just needed the race first time out at Doncaster and he's in good form now. He's won over seven furlongs, but he's quick and is just as good at six furlongs. 23-04-24"
Fresh (84 days off)Won 1 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by a narrow margin at OR 86, but the recent form is patchy—eighth at Epsom just 12 days ago after a 100-day layoff before that. The key is Betsen's 20% win rate on normal ground (1 from 5), which suits today's conditions, but the horse hasn't won in nearly three months and draws a double disadvantage in stall 9 with no track bias to help.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (82 days off)Won 0 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 5 times
TrackLab Insight
This is the form horse—won here at Sandown 78 days ago and has the best record on normal ground in the field at 33% (2 from 6 races), underpinned by a strong 24% career win rate (8 from 34). The only concern is a 12-week absence and zero wins on standard ground across eight attempts, but the recent winning profile and stall 2 (mid-range draw) make this a genuine contender.
Fresh (71 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse (OR 75) carrying the least weight, with just one win from eight races and a mediocre 12% win rate. Won at Sandown three months ago but finished fifth here more recently (37 days ago) and has not won since; draws stall 10 (lowest win rate of any draw band at this track) with little to recommend a 17.5 outsider.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Won at this course & distanceQuick turnaroundWon 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Nine years old with 50 races under his belt, the only horse who has won over this course and distance, giving him genuine course knowledge others lack. Recent form shows a hot streak (four places and a win in five races before a poor tenth at Hamilton) and a 30% win rate on standard ground (3 from 10), though the 82-day layoff before recent racing and heavy odds (20.0) suggest his peak may be behind him.
Has won over this course and distanceMost experienced (50 runs, field avg 23)
Modest three-year-old with just one win from seven races and no victories on good-to-firm ground (0 from 3), which is a concern on normal turf. Showed some promise with placings in two of the last three outings but was beaten 14 lengths at Leicester just three weeks ago; at 60.0 odds, this is a field too strong.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.