One of the market leaders and the most consistent horse in the race — she has finished in the top three in three of her four career races, including a narrow second just 22 days ago at Wolverhampton, beaten by only a whisker. She is a 3-year-old, and that age group has a strong record in this specific contest, which adds to her appeal.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
The highest-rated horse in the field alongside Affection and Morven, but she hasn't raced in over seven months — the longest absence of any runner here. That layoff is the big question mark, and her odds have drifted dramatically, suggesting punters aren't convinced she'll hit the ground running after such a long break.
Absent 228 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
The race favourite and the top tip, carrying the lightest weight in the field — a significant advantage in a handicap race where every pound matters. She is yet to win in four attempts but was beaten by just a third of a length last time out at Newbury, and 3-year-olds like her have a notably strong record in this specific contest.
Carries lowest weight in fieldMarket favourite (2.54)
Jockey in form (3 wins in 14 days)Trainer in formWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
She finished second at this very track 37 days ago, which makes her the only horse in the field with proven form around Salisbury — a useful edge. She has never raced on wet ground before, but her trainer has been in excellent form recently, winning 8 from 32 races in the last two weeks — the best record of any trainer in this field.
Never raced on wet groundTrainer in best form (8 from 32 last 2wk)
Wearing hoodFresh (188 days off)Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The standout stat here is her record on wet ground — she wins 2 from every 5 races in these conditions, the best of any runner in the field. However, all five of her career wins have come at Bath, and she has never won on a right-handed track, which is a concern given Salisbury is exactly that.
Wearing cheekpiecesJockey in form (10 wins in 14 days)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
By far the most experienced horse in the field with 40 races under her belt — the average runner here has just 13 — and she actually has the best record at this distance, winning twice from 13 attempts over a mile and two furlongs. The catch? She has never raced on wet ground before, which is a real unknown on a day like today.
Never raced on wet groundBest record at this trip (2 from 13)Most experienced (40 runs, field avg 13)Jockey in best form (10 from 38 last 2wk)
This is Affection's first ever race — there is simply no form to analyse, no previous performance to lean on. She is one of the higher-rated 3-year-olds in the field on paper, but asking a complete debutant to win in wet conditions against more experienced rivals is a big ask.
The lowest-rated horse in the race, rated 5lbs below the field average, and her most recent run was a distant 10th — beaten 25 lengths. She has never raced on wet ground before, so today's conditions add yet another unknown for a horse already struggling to make an impact.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below averageNever raced on wet ground
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.