Pontefract
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Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Starts in
27h 54min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- D. O'Meara wins 12.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 33% win rate on this ground from 3 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Has won 3 times at this course from 5 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Why this score
- R. Ryan wins 25% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Why this score
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- Only 10th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Why this score
- A 10.3% overall win rate for D. Allan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- Came 8th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Why this score
- H. Charlton has a good 25% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- C. Fallon wins 29.2% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Up against stronger rivals than before. Moving up to a harder race tests whether a horse is improving.
Why this score
- A 12.4% overall win rate for C. Johnston. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 3yo+ race, and the entry rules are not a natural fit. Sometimes horses end up in races that do not quite suit them.
Why this score
- A. Mullen has won 8.0% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A. Mullen wins only 8.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 10.1% overall win rate for J. Camacho. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 5.6% record at this course for D. Egan. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 50% win rate at this course for O. Carmichael. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- 30 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- P. Makin has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.