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Navan

·
BAR 1 Casino 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle
Starts in
18h 35min
Jumps race · low hurdles About 2 miles Slightly soft ground 15 runners £9,000 prize money
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £1.14 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.14 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • G. Cromwell has won 10.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • K. Donoghue has won 10.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £1.91 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.91 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • J. Kennedy has a good 23.6% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • G. Elliott has a good 15.6% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £3.10 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 13.3% overall win rate for H. de Bromhead. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • A 9.5% overall win rate for J. Gainford. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £4.50 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • J. Patrick O'Brien wins 14.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £7.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • G. Cromwell wins 10.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £5.50 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has won at this course once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A. Slattery has won 7.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • P. Donovan wins 4.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
  • Has won at this course once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • S. Flanagan has won 8.0% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • M. Mulvany has a 5.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Last raced 15 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
  • W. R. Crawford wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • A 10.2% overall win rate for G. Cromwell. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £1.14 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 176 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.14 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • G. Cromwell wins 10.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • Only 14th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • S. Torrens has won 6.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • M. Mulvany has a 5.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Today's ground is Good To Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • A 1.6% record at this course for P. Cluskey. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £1.14 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.14 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Today's ground is Good To Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
  • S. Markey has a 2.3% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • The Good To Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • J. Flynn wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Full stats
  • Nustty (no. 9)
    Jockey K. Donoghue: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Cromwell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Norman Prince (no. 8)
    Jockey J. Kennedy: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Elliott: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Huff'n'puff (no. 4)
    Jockey J. Gainford: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer H. de Bromhead: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Green Soul (no. 3)
    Jockey J. J. Slevin: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Patrick O'Brien: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Mergus Serrator (no. 6)
    Jockey C. Stone-Walsh: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Cromwell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Sunrush (no. 10)
    Jockey P. Donovan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer A. Slattery: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Nephin Mountain (no. 7)
    Jockey S. Flanagan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer M. Mulvany: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Fay Og (no. 1)
    Jockey S. Ewing: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer W. R. Crawford: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Glen Echo (no. 2)
    Jockey B. Harvey: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Cromwell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Matada (no. 5)
    Jockey K. Buckley: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Cromwell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 11st 0lb
  • Arizona Star (no. 11)
    Jockey S. Torrens: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer M. Mulvany: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 10st 7lb
  • Courtlough Gula (no. 12)
    Jockey J. Smith: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Cluskey: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 10st 7lb
  • Moon Aura (no. 13)
    Jockey S. Markey: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer C. A. McBratney: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 10st 7lb
  • Rose Sienna (no. 14)
    Jockey J. Williamson: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Magee: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 10st 7lb
  • Star Of Tara (no. 15)
    Jockey P. Enright: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Flynn: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 3, weight 10st 7lb
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Navan tomorrow ?