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Navan

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Coolmore N.H. Sires Hurricane Lane Irish EBF Mares Flat Race (Listed)
Starts in
22h 30min
Bumper · flat race for young jumps horses Underrated horse: Shuil Solas +1 About 2 miles Slightly soft ground Elite-level race 10 runners £19,500 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £10.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Mr J. L. Gleeson wins 16.9% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • A 0% record at this course for J. E & Thomas Kiely. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £9.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • A. D. Leahy has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £2.20 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 2 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.20 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.

Bet £1, get £5.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Mr H. C. Swan wins 26.9% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.

Bet £1, get £4.50 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 287 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • An 11.6% overall win rate for S. G. Carey. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • With an average finish of 3 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
  • 287 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.

Bet £1, get £17.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • A 3.2% record at this course for Ms C. O'Connell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £34.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 195 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has been off the track for 195 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
  • A 4.0% win rate at this course for S. R. B. Crawford. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • A 4% record at this course for S. R. B. Crawford. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £81.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This horse is happy on Good To Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
  • Carrying 161 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
  • A 0% career win rate for M. P. Fogarty. That is below the top trainers.

Bet £1, get £41.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • This trainer does well at this course. Trainers who know a course understand what suits it.
  • D. O'Connor wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.

Bet £1, get £26.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 83 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Today's ground is Good To Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
  • A 0% win rate at this course for Mr J. Dunne. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • P. Lawlor has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Full stats
  • Shuil Solas (no. 8)
    Jockey Mr J. L. Gleeson: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. E & Thomas Kiely: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 7lb
  • Bluebell Breeze (no. 3)
    Jockey Miss C. Butler: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer A. D. Leahy: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 7lb
  • Sarahs Lawn (no. 1)
    Jockey Mr D. L. Queally: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Queally: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 11lb
  • All Noise (no. 2)
    Jockey Mr H. C. Swan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer Mrs J. Harrington: wins 50% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 7lb
  • Brosna Shine (no. 5)
    Jockey Mr P. A. King: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. G. Carey: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 7lb
  • Born Believing (no. 4)
    Jockey Mr D. O'Sullivan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer Ms C. O'Connell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 7lb
  • Eillis (no. 6)
    Jockey Mr N. McParlan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. R. B. Crawford: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 7lb
  • Inner Bloom (no. 7)
    Jockey Mr F. Maguire: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer M. P. Fogarty: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 7lb
  • Silver Song (no. 9)
    Jockey Mr B. M. Coonan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. O'Connor: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 7lb
  • The Lodge Lane (no. 10)
    Jockey Mr J. Dunne: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Lawlor: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 7lb
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Navan tomorrow ?