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Navan

·
Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
20h 45min
Jumps race · low hurdles · weighted to be fair About 2.6 miles Slightly soft ground 16 runners £12,000 prize money
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Raced again soon after its last run
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 8 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
  • This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Today's race is over 2m 5f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • A 4.5% record at this course for P. Roche. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Its first race in 160 days
Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Today's race is over 2m 5f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • A 4.2% record at this course for E. Cawley. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Has won at this course over this distance
  • Its first race in 223 days
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course onceHas won over this distance twice
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • A 23.6% win rate at this course for J. Kennedy. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • A 16-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 224 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
  • This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has won at this course onceHas won on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • An experienced horse with 47 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
  • R. Hackett wins 31.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • Finished 13th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Its first race in 239 days
Won 1 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has an official rating of 114. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
  • 239 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
  • D. Broad has a 2.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • With a 22.2% win rate overall, Ms A. Connolly is one of the more dependable riders.
  • A 16-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Its first race in 344 days
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has been off the track for 344 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
  • S. R. B. Crawford has a good 4.0% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • A 16-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Has won at this course over this distance
  • Its first race in 344 days
Won 2 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course onceHas won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 2m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • S. R. B. Crawford has a good 4.0% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • S. R. B. Crawford has a 4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 87 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course beforeHas done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • An official rating of 109 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • 2m 5f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • A 0% record at this course for B. Martin Crowley. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Its first race in 124 days
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has an official rating of 109. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
  • Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Rated 106 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
  • A 2m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • A 16-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Has won on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Wins 22% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • With 42 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
  • P. A. Fahy wins only 4.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course beforeHas won on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 2m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • Rated 123 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
  • This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £3.10 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • Has an official rating of 116. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
  • This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Full stats
  • Park Of Kings (no. 6)
    Jockey M. Walsh: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Nolan: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 1lb, official rating 119
  • Beyond Your Dreams (no. 10)
    Jockey A. Kelly: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Roche: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 9lb, official rating 113
  • Must Go Now (no. 13)
    Jockey J. Gainford: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer E. Cawley: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 9, weight 10st 5lb, official rating 109
  • Sa Fureur (no. 1)
    Jockey J. Kennedy: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Elliott: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 9, weight 12st 0lb, official rating 132
  • Royal Gladiator (no. 4)
    Jockey K. Donoghue: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer I. Patrick Donoghue: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 5lb, official rating 123
  • Sequoiaspirit (no. 5)
    Jockey A. O'Sullivan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer R. Hackett: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 9, weight 11st 2lb, official rating 120
  • Champagne Venture (no. 8)
    Jockey J. Williamson: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Broad: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 10st 10lb, official rating 114
  • Better Times (no. 14)
    Jockey Ms A. Connolly: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. G. Carey: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 10st 2lb, official rating 106
  • I Love My Baie (no. 2)
    Jockey J. J. Slevin: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. R. B. Crawford: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 5lb, official rating 123
  • Paddy's Milestone (no. 9)
    Jockey S. Ewing: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. R. B. Crawford: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 10st 10lb, official rating 114
  • Burru (no. 11)
    Jockey M. Kenneally: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Martin Crowley: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 10st 5lb, official rating 109
  • Cool Native (no. 12)
    Jockey D. Gilligan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Elliott: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 10st 5lb, official rating 109
  • It's Bobsled Time (no. 15)
    Jockey K. Healy: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Queally: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 10st 1lb, official rating 106
  • You Make Me Smile (no. 16)
    Jockey S. O'Keeffe: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. A. Fahy: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 10st 0lb, official rating 103
  • Matt Connor (no. 3)
    Jockey E. Staples: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. P. Dempsey: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 5lb, official rating 123
  • Mart Lane (no. 7)
    Jockey Mr F. Maguire: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Connell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 12lb, official rating 116
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Navan tomorrow ?