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Navan

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Race And Stay Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase
Starts in
21h 20min
Jumps race · big fences About 2.6 miles Slightly soft ground 9 runners £9,900 prize money
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 225 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has won at this course once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • W. P. Mullins has a good 23.4% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • A 21.6% overall win rate for W. P. Mullins. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • Rated lower than many rivals. The ratings suggest this horse needs to improve to compete.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 200 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Finishing 0th last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 551 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
  • Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • Mrs M. Whelehan has a 2.2% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • D. O'Connor wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.

Bet £1, get £3.10 back if it wins

  • Has won at this course over this distance
  • Its first race in 310 days
Won 2 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course onceHas won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.

Bet £1, get £2.88 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 200 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.88 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • A 6.8% record at this course for S. Flanagan. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.

Bet £1, get £3.10 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 197 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 9.9% win rate at this course for M. Walsh. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • A 23.4% win rate at this course for W. P. Mullins. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 200 days
  • Won 2 of its last 5 races
Has done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • W. P. Mullins wins 23.4% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • W. P. Mullins wins 21.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.

Bet £1, get £1.13 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 249 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
  • Has been off the track for 249 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
Full stats
  • Hens Tooth (no. 6)
    Jockey S. O'Keeffe: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer W. P. Mullins: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 12lb
  • Kazansky (no. 7)
    Jockey D. Gilligan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Elliott: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 12lb
  • Big Tom (no. 1)
    Jockey C. Smithers: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer Mrs M. Whelehan: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 12lb
  • Lengaruka (no. 9)
    Jockey P. Enright: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. O'Connor: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 12lb
  • Classical Creek (no. 2)
    Jockey J. Kennedy: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Elliott: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 12lb
  • Fruit De Mer (no. 5)
    Jockey S. Flanagan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer H. de Bromhead: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 12lb
  • Kopeck De Mee (no. 8)
    Jockey M. Walsh: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer W. P. Mullins: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 12lb
  • Espresso Milan (no. 3)
    Jockey B. Hayes: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer W. P. Mullins: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 12lb
  • Forty Coats (no. 4)
    Jockey K. Donoghue: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer H. de Bromhead: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 12lb
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Navan tomorrow ?