Killarney

Rated 100, Pivotal Attack tops the entire field on official figures — but her last run at the Curragh 52 days ago has no result recorded, making it genuinely hard to know what form she brings here. Before that, a third at Leopardstown and a second at the Curragh show she is capable, but a win rate of roughly one in six races is the lowest among the fancied horses. The rating says she should be shorter than 13-to-1; the lack of information about her most recent run is a concern.

Her last run was a 13th-place finish at Ascot, beaten 12 and a half lengths, which is a significant blot on an otherwise decent record. Prior to that she finished fourth at the Curragh, just under a length off the pace, suggesting the Ascot run may have been a one-off on an unfamiliar track rather than a collapse in form. The drift from 10-to-1 out to 12-to-1 suggests the market is not convinced she bounces back quickly enough here.

Three races in and this horse has finished first, second, and third — a perfect set of top-three finishes that signals a young horse still on the way up. Rated 95, she sits above the field average and draws well in stall six, which is in the sweet spot at Killarney over this distance. Still lightly raced and with a recent win at Leopardstown 34 days ago, she arrives fresh and in form.

Four wins in a row is a streak that demands respect, and Meriden arrives here as the hottest horse in the field on recent form — three wins in the last six weeks alone. She has a perfect record at this distance, winning every time she has raced over seven furlongs to a mile, which is a huge plus in a field where so many rivals are unproven at the trip. Rated 97, she is right in the mix on figures and could be the biggest danger to the selection.