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Fontwell

·
Stonex Southern National Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Starts in
22h 8min
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Mask of Zorro About 3.4 miles Slightly soft ground Mid-level race 11 runners £11,618 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £5.50 back if it wins

  • Won 4 of its last 5 races
  • Has won at this course twice
Has done well on this kind of ground
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • 3m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • J. Tizzard wins 19.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.

Bet £1, get £4.50 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 259 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • 3m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.

Bet £1, get £6.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing blinkers (a hood that helps it focus)
  • Won 2 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • 3m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • S. Edmunds has not had many runners lately, so their recent form is unclear.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.

Bet £1, get £7.50 back if it wins

  • Wearing a hood (covers its ears to keep it calm)
  • Its first race in 253 days
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • 3m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Has raced 8 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • J. Moore & Josh Moore wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.

Bet £1, get £10.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a visor (blinkers with a gap to see sideways)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has won at this course onceHas done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • J. Owen wins 23.9% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • Has won 1 time at this course from 5 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.

Bet £1, get £9.00 back if it wins

  • Has won at this course over this distance
  • Wearing blinkers (a hood that helps it focus)
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course onceHas won on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.

Bet £1, get £9.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Has done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • 3m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.

Bet £1, get £26.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Its first race in 193 days
Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 3m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • Set to carry 168 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
  • J. Moore & Josh Moore wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.

Bet £1, get £26.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Its first race in 198 days
Won 1 of its last 5 racesHas won on this kind of groundHas won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 3m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • Carrying 168 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
  • T. Britten wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.

Bet £1, get £51.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a visor (blinkers with a gap to see sideways)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 3m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • A 14.1% win rate at this course for T. Cannon. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.

Bet £1, get £26.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Raced again soon after its last run
Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • 3m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • B. Murphy wins 2.6% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Full stats
  • Mask of Zorro (no. 4)
    Jockey D. Johnston: wins 33% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Tizzard: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 13lb, official rating 124
  • Jeu d'Opale (no. 10)
    Jockey C. Deutsch: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer V. Williams: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 0lb, official rating 111
  • Paper Mill (no. 6)
    Jockey C. Hammond: wins 100% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. Edmunds: wins 100% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 10, weight 11st 11lb, official rating 122
  • Invincible Nao (no. 5)
    Jockey D. Noonan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Moore & Josh Moore: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 13lb, official rating 124
  • Ivane (no. 9)
    Jockey S. Sheppard: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Owen: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 1lb, official rating 112
  • Livin On Luco (no. 1)
    Jockey R. Corcoran: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Hobbs & Johnson White: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 12st 2lb, official rating 127
  • Call Me Legend (no. 7)
    Jockey J. Stenhouse: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Hobbs & Johnson White: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 10lb, official rating 121
  • Ventura Highway (no. 2)
    Jockey F. Mitchell: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Moore & Josh Moore: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 12st 0lb, official rating 125
  • What A Glance (no. 3)
    Jockey M. Dodd: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer T. Britten: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 11, weight 12st 0lb, official rating 125
  • Dartan (no. 8)
    Jockey T. Cannon: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. Humphrey: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 9, weight 11st 8lb, official rating 119
  • Jack's Jury (no. 11)
    Jockey C. Maggs: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Murphy: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 10st 2lb, official rating 93
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Fontwell tomorrow ?