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Fontwell

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John Rogerson Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier)
Starts in
24h 3min
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair About 2.7 miles Slightly soft ground Entry-level race 10 runners £3,697 prize money
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £1.10 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Its first race in 254 days
Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • J. Tizzard has a 19.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 254 days
  • Won 3 of its last 5 races
Has done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • T. Cannon wins 14.1% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • K. Lee wins 36.8% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • Its average finish over the last three races is 1. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.

Bet £1, get £1.10 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has won at this course twice
Has done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • 2m 6½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • D. Summersby wins 6.8% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.

Bet £1, get £1.10 back if it wins

  • Has won at this course over this distance
  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
Its first race in 158 daysWon 0 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • A 3.9% career win rate for H. Nelmes. That is below the top trainers.

Bet £1, get £1.10 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has won at this course twiceHas won on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • With 46 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • H. Brown wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Its first race in 237 days
Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.

Bet £1, get £1.10 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 557 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 7 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • S. Mullins wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.

Bet £1, get £1.11 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Its first race in 157 days
Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • B. Clarke wins 13.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.

Bet £1, get £1.10 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Its first race in 598 days
Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • B. Murphy has a 2.6% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.

Bet £1, get £1.10 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • A 4.1% career win rate for K. Jewell. That is below the top trainers.
Full stats
  • Bertie Wooster (no. 3)
    Jockey D. Johnston: wins 33% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Tizzard: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 9lb, official rating 95
  • Fay Ce Que Voudras (no. 4)
    Jockey T. Cannon: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer K. Lee: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 10, weight 11st 8lb, official rating 94
  • Majestic Moment (no. 5)
    Jockey R. Corcoran: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Summersby: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 5lb, official rating 91
  • Wellwillya (no. 7)
    Jockey P. O'Brien: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer H. Nelmes: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 10st 9lb, official rating 81
  • Valirann Gold (no. 8)
    Jockey B. Godfrey: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer H. Brown: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 9, weight 10st 8lb, official rating 80
  • What A Dragon (no. 9)
    Jockey H. Kimber: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer R. Walford: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 6lb, official rating 78
  • Elpologreg (no. 10)
    Jockey B. Macey: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. Mullins: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 10st 2lb, official rating 71
  • Just Call Me Buzz (no. 1)
    Jockey D. Noonan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Clarke: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 12st 0lb, official rating 100
  • Doonbeg Don (no. 2)
    Jockey C. Maggs: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Murphy: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 11lb, official rating 97
  • Lord Maher (no. 6)
    Jockey M. Goldstein: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer K. Jewell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 10st 9lb, official rating 81
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Fontwell tomorrow ?