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Exeter

·
Exeter
Awaiting result
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Genois About 2.4 miles Slightly soft ground Mid-level race 9 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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F. Gingell · P. Nicholls · 10yo · 11st 7lb · Official rating 132
£1 wins £3 · 24 Strong chance
P. Nicholls's horses finish their races 40% of the time
Headgear Form
24
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 24 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Trainer wins at this course ✓ Jockey overall win rate
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 30% of runs)
Why this score
  • P. Nicholls's horses finish their races 40% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A 27.3% win rate at this course for P. Nicholls. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 10 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • O. Murphy's horses finish 51.1% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 8 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • A 19.3% career win rate for O. Murphy. That is below the top trainers.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • J. & A J O'Neill's runners finish 26.9% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • J. & A J O'Neill has a good 25% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • J. & A J O'Neill has an 11.5% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Back after 79 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • D. Pipe's runners finish 26.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 11 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • An 8.3% record at this course for D. Pipe. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 62 days off Won 1 of last 5 Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • E. Williams's runners finish 23.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A 15.9% overall win rate for B. Jones. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • A 10.2% career win rate for E. Williams. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £251.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 341 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 40% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • H. Main's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • A 0% record at this course for H. Main. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing blinkers Back after 136 days off Won 3 of last 5 Won here 3 times
Why this score
  • C. Honour's horses finish their races 60% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Has won 3 times at this course from 8 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 146 days off Won 2 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs)
Why this score
  • F. O'Brien's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Has been off the track for 146 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 12 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back quickly after its last run Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • P. Hanlon wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.