Exeter
·
Exeter
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Reel Orange
Very underrated horse
£1 wins £4 · 30 Strong chance
J. Tizzard's runners finish 55.2% of their races
30
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 4/1
£1 wins £4 · 30 Strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Tizzard's runners finish 55.2% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- 91 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- This is an 11-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
£1 wins £300 · 14 Solid chance
C. Boultbee-Brooks's runners finish 72.7% of their races
14
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Boultbee-Brooks's runners finish 72.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- R. Patrick has a 0% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Dennis's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Back racing after just 7 days. A quick return usually means the horse came out of its last race in good shape.
- A 4.5% record at this course for T. Bellamy. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Keighley's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- F. Keighley has a 0% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Scott's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Has raced here 3 times without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- Finished 9th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
Ryders Rock
£1 wins £28 · 8 Could surprise
J. Tizzard's horses finish their races 55.2% of the time
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Tizzard's horses finish their races 55.2% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- With a 17.1% win rate overall, F. Gingell is one of the more dependable riders.
- An 11-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- V. Williams's runners finish 26.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- A weight of 168 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
- N. Fox wins only 4.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. Mulholland's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A 20% win rate at this course for B. Harris. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- Only 8th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Ralph's horses finish 30% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- A 0% record at this course for L. Edwards. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Howell's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
- A 3.8% career win rate for T. Worsley. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Poets Reflection
£1 wins £500 · 1 Long shot
L. Blackford's horses finish 100% of their races
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Blackford's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
- L. Blackford has a 2.6% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.