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Exeter

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Exeter
Awaiting result
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Ted The Thief About 3 miles Unknown Entry-level race 9 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Ted The Thief Underrated horse
H. Kimber · R. Walford · 6yo · 11st 0lb · Official rating 86
£1 wins £1.63 · 49 Very strong chance
R. Walford's horses finish their races 62.5% of the time
Form
49
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 13/8
£1 wins £1.63 · 49 Very strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Race distance ✓ Last run finishing position
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • R. Walford's horses finish their races 62.5% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • A 13.0% record at this course for H. Kimber. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 2 times Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • S. Gardner's horses finish their races 40% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • Has won here 2 times in 8 visits. That record at this course is a good sign.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • O. Signy's runners finish 66.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • C. Gray's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • C. Gray wins 2.8% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • D. Pipe's horses finish their races 26.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • D. Pipe has an 11.9% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • With 18 in this race, jumping matters, and this horse is good at it. Clean jumpers gain ground at every obstacle.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • B. Lund's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • A 1.5% career win rate for B. Lund. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 395 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • P. Gundry's runners finish 25% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • T. Worsley wins 3.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.