Exeter
·
Exeter
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Saint Cyr De Pail
Underrated horse
£1 wins £1000 · 17 Solid chance
J. Williams's horses finish 55.6% of their races
17
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Williams's horses finish 55.6% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- J. Williams wins 24.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Has won 2 times at this course from 4 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Scott's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Carrying 168 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- 1 win from 3 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
Bertie Wooster
Underrated horse
£1 wins £8.50 · 14 Solid chance
J. Tizzard's runners finish 55.2% of their races
14
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Tizzard's runners finish 55.2% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Has not raced for 66 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- A 14.2% career win rate for J. Tizzard. That is below the top trainers.
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Walford's runners finish 62.5% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Only 9 days since the last race. The trainer seems to think the horse is well enough to run again, which is a good sign.
- H. Kimber wins only 13.0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Blackford's runners finish 100% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- 106 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- L. Blackford has a 2.6% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Gardner's horses finish 40% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 2.4% career win rate for L. Gardner. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £20.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Tickle's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- With 15 in this race, jumping matters, and this horse is good at it. Clean jumpers gain ground at every obstacle.
- J. Tickle has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Brown's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- H. Brown wins 3% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Nelmes's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- With a 15.3% win rate overall, P. O'Brien is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 2.8% career win rate for H. Nelmes. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. & A J O'Neill's horses finish 26.9% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- A 25% win rate at this course for J. & A J O'Neill. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- J. & A J O'Neill wins 11.5% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
£1 wins £300 · 1 Long shot
The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- 2m 3f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.