The market favourite and one of only two horses with an official rating in this field, Arrietty has finished second three times in a row — including twice by just half a length — without ever getting over the line. That consistency is admirable, but six races without a win raises a real question about whether this horse can close the deal when it matters most.
The highest-rated horse in the field by 3lbs, I Hope You Dance has posted back-to-back second-place finishes after a poor start to its career, showing clear improvement. However, this horse has never raced on today's slightly wet ground, which is a genuine unknown. If the conditions suit, this could be the one to finally break through — but so could Arrietty, and neither has yet proved they can win.
Top rated by 3lbsNever raced on slightly soft ground
The horse singled out in the race preview as the most interesting debutante in the field, and the market has priced her as a co-second-favourite at 5/1 despite having never raced before. Trainer P. Twomey and jockey W.J. Lee have won together in roughly 1 in 3 races they have partnered — an impressive record that suggests this is a yard that sends horses out ready to perform. One to watch closely on debut.
Only one race to judge — a third-place finish at Limerick — so this is still very much a horse finding its feet. The key attraction here is the combination of Ryan Moore in the saddle and the Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard behind her, both of which carry serious weight at this level. She has never raced on slightly wet ground before, but a step forward from that debut third would make her very competitive.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
A first-time runner with no race history to judge, so we are entirely reliant on what the breeding and the yard suggest. Trained by D.K. Weld, who also saddles Ashikita today, this horse is by Lope De Vega — a stallion known for producing horses that develop over time rather than burst onto the scene. Worth keeping an eye on, but debut runners at this trip are always a step into the unknown.
A racecourse debut with no form to work from, trained by J.S. Bolger whose stable wins roughly 1 in 11 races together with today's jockey — modest numbers compared to some rivals here. The pedigree, by Teofilo out of a Galileo mare, is full of class and suggests this horse could develop into something useful over time. Whether that time is today is the question.
Another first-time runner, trained by Mrs John Harrington whose yard wins roughly 1 in 9 races they enter — solid numbers at this level. The pedigree points firmly toward stamina, which matters a lot over today's mile-and-a-half trip on slightly wet ground. No form to assess, but the breeding is well-suited to this specific test.
This horse has raced just once in its life, finishing 13th, and has then been off the track for over two years — the longest absence in the entire field. That is a lot of unknowns to overcome, and the odds have drifted sharply to 67/1, suggesting the market has little faith. Trainer D.K. Weld is respected, but there is simply too little to go on here.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)Absent 817 days (longest in field)
J. Dalton(7)
·
P. O'Rourke
· 3yo
· 9st 1lb
· OR 56
HeadgearForm
0.1
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Four races, four finishes near the back of the field, and the lowest official rating in the race — 15lbs below the field average. Miss Ivor has not shown anything in her form to suggest a turnaround is coming, and at 201/1, the market agrees. The addition of cheekpieces today is sometimes a sign a trainer is trying something new to spark a reaction, but the task looks very steep.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.