Curragh

The market favourite at 5.5, having been backed in from 12.0, which is a dramatic move that demands attention. However, the recent form is hard to ignore in the wrong direction — sixth at Cork 15 days ago, beaten over seven lengths, after finishing fourth the time before. The support is either based on something specific or is a punter's hunch; the bare form doesn't obviously justify favouritism.

The most experienced horse in the field with 12 races under its belt, but that experience comes with a catch — it has never won on soft or wet ground in three attempts, and today's conditions are exactly that. Odds have drifted sharply from 5.0 to 9.0, suggesting the market has spotted the same concern.

The standout on paper — rated 12lbs clear of most rivals and the only horse in the field who has actually won at this course and distance, doing so twice in three attempts here. Her odds have shortened as punters take notice, and she arrives fresh after 31 days off. If she handles today's slightly soft ground, she's the one everyone else has to beat.

Won at Cork 15 days ago and has finished in the top three in three races on the bounce, making this one of the in-form horses in the field. The editorial view is that the favourite Bad Boy Rizz can reverse that Cork result today, but Allsortz heads here off the back of a win and won't give it up easily.