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Cheltenham

·
Three Counties Christmas Open National Hunt Flat Race(listed Race) (Registered As The William Kidd) (GBB Race)
Starts in
23h 58min
Bumper · flat race for young jumps horses About 2 miles Good ground Elite-level race 13 runners £11,888 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £4.33 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 185 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • G. Sheehan has won 17.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • A 17.1% career win rate for G. Sheehan. That is on the low side and could matter today.

Bet £1, get £4.20 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.20 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • H. Cobden wins 21.3% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.

Bet £1, get £4.50 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Mr P. W. Mullins has won 29.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.

Bet £1, get £5.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £15.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £15.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • B. Jones has won 15.8% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • A 7.9% win rate at this course for B. Jones. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • A 0% record at this course for N. Scholfield. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £19.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • A 20% overall win rate for H. Fry. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £21.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 133 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • The trainer's record at this course is a plus. Knowing a track helps with getting the horse ready.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.

Bet £1, get £26.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • S. England's horses have been winning 50% of the time lately (4 runners). That is a stable in good form.
  • A 0% record at this course for S. England. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £34.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 19.2% overall win rate for S. Bowen. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • S. Bowen is riding well, with 2 winners from 3 recent rides. Good recent results are a good sign.
  • R. Spencer has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £41.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
  • Came home 4th last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • S. Hosie has a 5.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £41.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • D. McCain has won 15.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • D. McCain wins only 5.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.

Bet £1, get £41.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 15.9% overall win rate for F. O'Brien. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • There is little recent data for K. Woods. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
  • A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Full stats
  • Cameron de Fiacre (no. 2)
    Jockey G. Sheehan: wins 100% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Snowden: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • New Grange (no. 9)
    Jockey H. Cobden: wins 25% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer T. Cooper: wins 100% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Berkstar (no. 1)
    Jockey Mr P. W. Mullins: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer W. P. Mullins: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Dundee Law (no. 3)
    Jockey H. Skelton: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Micky Haller (no. 8)
    Jockey T. Durrell: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Lord Churchill (no. 7)
    Jockey B. Jones: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. Scholfield: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Par Avion (no. 10)
    Jockey B. Carver: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer H. Fry: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 2lb
  • Parisian Fair (no. 11)
    Jockey C. Quinn: wins 50% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Moore & Josh Moore: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Junior Minister (no. 6)
    Jockey J. England: wins 50% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. England: wins 50% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 2lb
  • Groovy Train (no. 4)
    Jockey S. Bowen: wins 67% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer R. Spencer: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Hoo's The Jet (no. 5)
    Jockey J. Burke: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. Hosie: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 2lb
  • Rescheduled (no. 12)
    Jockey T. Gillard: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. McCain: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Willow Tide (no. 13)
    Jockey K. Woods: wins 100% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer F. O'Brien: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 2lb
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Cheltenham tomorrow ?