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Cheltenham

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Handicap Hurdle Race (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)
Starts in
23h 35min
Jumps race · low hurdles · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: The Hardest Geezer About 2 miles Good ground Elite-level race 19 runners (25 non-runners) £56,950 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, 3rd or 4th, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £4.50 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Its first race in 219 days
Its jockey has won 2 races in the last 2 weeksWon 1 of its last 5 racesHas won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
  • 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £7.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Won 4 of its last 5 races
Has done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • With a 15.4% win rate overall, J. O'Neill Jr. is one of the more dependable riders.
  • J. O'Neill Jr. has a good 8.2% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • A 20-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £6.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Its first race in 251 days
Won 2 of its last 5 racesHas won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
  • 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £10.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 190 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course beforeHas done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Handles this ground well, with 25% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
  • Has not raced for 190 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
  • A 20-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £11.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Its jockey has won 2 races in the last 2 weeks
Its trainer's horses are winning a lot latelyWon 2 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • O. Murphy has won 18.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • A 9.7% win rate at this course for S. Bowen. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £21.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Has won over this distance once
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • B. Jones has won 15.8% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a 20-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £12.00 back if it wins

  • Has won at this course over this distance
  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
Its first race in 175 daysWon 2 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • Has been off the track for 175 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
  • A 20-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £11.00 back if it wins

  • Has won at this course over this distance
  • Wearing a hood (covers its ears to keep it calm)
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course twiceHas won on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 17.8% overall win rate for J. Owen. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • With a 15.8% win rate overall, S. Twiston-Davies is one of the more dependable riders.
  • A 20-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £23.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • F. Gingell has won 18.5% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A 20-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £17.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a hood (covers its ears to keep it calm)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
  • A 20-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £21.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • The jockey, D. King, has won 1 of their last 3 races. A jockey in good form can help a horse.
  • Recent results are getting better. The horse is finishing higher up. A horse that is improving often keeps improving.
  • 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £26.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has done well on this kind of groundHas won over this distance twice
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Rated 9.2 points above the average for this race. On paper, this horse is one of the better runners.
  • Wins 40% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • N. Scholfield has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £23.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Has won on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Handles this ground well, with 22% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
  • Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
  • A 20-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £19.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
  • Has done well on this kind of ground
Has won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
  • 37 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
  • 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £41.00 back if it wins

  • Has won at this course over this distance
  • Its first race in 162 days
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course onceHas done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Wins 44% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • Has won at this distance 2 times before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
  • This is a 20-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £51.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
Won 1 of its last 5 racesHas raced at this course beforeHas done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
  • An official rating of 128 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • N. Scholfield wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.

Bet £1, get £81.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has done well on this kind of ground
Has won over this distance 4 times
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Handles this ground well, with 57% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
  • An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • A 20-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £34.00 back if it wins

  • Has won at this course over this distance
  • Its first race in 197 days
Won 1 of its last 5 racesHas won at this course onceHas done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 33% win rate on this ground from 3 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • N. Henderson has won 21.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • This is a 20-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £51.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Has won over this distance twice
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Full stats
  • Harry Lowes (no. 13)
    Jockey H. Cobden: wins 33% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 8% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 12lb, official rating 128
  • Pioneer Pete (no. 9)
    Jockey J. O'Neill Jr.: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. & A.J. O'Neill: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 3lb, official rating 133
  • Let It Rain (no. 10)
    Jockey H. Skelton: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 8% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 0lb, official rating 130
  • Helnwein (no. 11)
    Jockey J. Burke: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer A. King: wins 50% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 0lb, official rating 130
  • Mister Ursus (no. 15)
    Jockey S. Bowen: wins 33% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer O. Murphy: wins 31% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 12lb, official rating 128
  • The Hardest Geezer (no. 19)
    Jockey B. Jones: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Hobbs & Johnson White: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 10st 5lb, official rating 121
  • The Kemble Brewery (no. 3)
    Jockey T. Bellamy: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls: wins 25% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 12lb, official rating 142
  • Burdett Road (no. 4)
    Jockey S. Twiston-Davies: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Owen: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 11lb, official rating 141
  • Tennessee Tango (no. 17)
    Jockey F. Gingell: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Tizzard: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 10st 7lb, official rating 123
  • The Mighty Celt (no. 12)
    Jockey H. Atkins: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 8% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 10st 13lb, official rating 129
  • Day Trader (no. 20)
    Jockey D. King: wins 33% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer A. J. Martin: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 2lb, official rating 117
  • Race To Base (no. 18)
    Jockey J. Quinlan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. Scholfield: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 10st 6lb, official rating 122
  • Serious Challenge (no. 7)
    Jockey L. Harrison: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer F. O'Brien: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 4lb, official rating 134
  • Captain Hugo (no. 6)
    Jockey S. Houlihan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Hobbs & Johnson White: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 4lb, official rating 134
  • Give It To Me Oj (no. 5)
    Jockey C. Quinn: wins 33% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Moore & Josh Moore: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 8lb, official rating 138
  • Morning Mayhem (no. 14)
    Jockey K. Woods: wins 50% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. Scholfield: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 12lb, official rating 128
  • Listentoyourheart (no. 16)
    Jockey C. Todd: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 8% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 10st 9lb, official rating 125
  • Iberico Lord (no. 1)
    Jockey N. de Boinville: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. Henderson: wins 67% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 12st 0lb, official rating 144
  • Knickerbockerglory (no. 8)
    Jockey T. Durrell: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 8% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 10, weight 11st 4lb, official rating 134
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Cheltenham tomorrow ?