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Cheltenham

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Maiden Hurdle Race (Novices' Championship Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Starts in
21h 3min
Jumps race · low hurdles Underrated horse: Old Habits About 2 miles Good ground High-level race 14 runners £10,892 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £3.25 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £4.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • B. Jones wins 15.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • B. Jones has a good 7.9% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • B. Pauling has a 5.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £6.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • N. Henderson has won 21.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • N. Henderson has won 21.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £5.50 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Its first race in 220 days
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Has been off the track for 220 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
  • S. Drinkwater has a 3.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £12.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Its trainer's horses are winning a lot lately
Won 1 of its last 5 races
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • O. Murphy wins 18.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • O. Murphy has won 18.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £15.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
  • Has won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Its average finish over the last three runs is 1.7. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
  • Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
  • A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £23.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • J. O'Neill Jr. wins 15.4% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • An 8.2% win rate at this course for J. O'Neill Jr.. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £29.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has done well on this kind of groundHas won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Wins 33% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • An official rating of 125 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £29.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 239 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 21.3% overall win rate for H. Cobden. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £67.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Rated 115 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
  • D. Harry Kelly wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.

Bet £1, get £51.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Won 2 of its last 5 races
Has done well on this kind of groundHas won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 33% win rate on this ground from 3 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
  • N. King has a 3.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.

Bet £1, get £126.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • B. Pauling has won 15.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £126.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 192 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • W. Greatrex wins 14.4% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £101.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against stronger horses than last time
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • R. McLernon wins 9.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Full stats
  • Made In Reugny (no. 9)
    Jockey H. Skelton: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 4lb
  • Mourne Crystal (no. 10)
    Jockey B. Jones: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Pauling: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 4lb
  • Lastbutnotleased (no. 7)
    Jockey N. de Boinville: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. Henderson: wins 100% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 4lb
  • Wolf Rayet (no. 14)
    Jockey R. Dunne: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. Drinkwater: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 4lb, official rating 133
  • Old Habits (no. 11)
    Jockey S. Bowen: wins 67% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer O. Murphy: wins 50% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 4lb
  • Get Out of My Way (no. 5)
    Jockey J. Hogan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer F. O'Brien: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 4lb
  • Lion Rose Sivola (no. 8)
    Jockey J. O'Neill Jr.: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. & A.J. O'Neill: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 4lb
  • En Or (no. 4)
    Jockey D. King: wins 50% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer A. J. Martin: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 4lb, official rating 125
  • Super Junior (no. 12)
    Jockey H. Cobden: wins 25% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer T. Cooper: wins 100% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 4lb
  • Airds Moss (no. 1)
    Jockey C. Quirke: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Harry Kelly: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 4lb, official rating 115
  • Arc Zoosve (no. 2)
    Jockey J. Quinlan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. King: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 4lb
  • Dernier Set (no. 3)
    Jockey K. Woods: wins 100% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Pauling: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 4lb
  • Island Getaway (no. 6)
    Jockey C. Quinn: wins 50% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer W. Greatrex: wins 33% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 4lb
  • Tide Is Turning (no. 13)
    Jockey R. McLernon: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. Mulholland: wins 33% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 4lb
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Cheltenham tomorrow ?