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Cheltenham

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WKD Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Starts in
21h 38min
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair About 2.5 miles Good ground Mid-level race 13 runners £16,338 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £3.50 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 208 days
  • Won 2 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • There is little recent data for N. Henderson's stable. It is hard to judge their current form.
  • A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
  • A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £6.00 back if it wins

  • Won 2 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • 2m 4f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • A 5.7% record at this course for B. Pauling. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £8.50 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Has done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • T. McCain-Mitchell has won 15.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • A 5.1% record at this course for N. & Willy Twiston-Davies. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.

Bet £1, get £8.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Has done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 33% win rate on this ground from 6 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £8.50 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
  • Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • P. Nicholls wins 22.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • P. Nicholls has won 22.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £13.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 246 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 15.8% overall win rate for B. Jones. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • B. Pauling has won 15.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £11.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 225 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has done well on this kind of groundHas won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 33% win rate from 3 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
  • D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £12.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Won 2 of its last 5 races
Has won on this kind of groundHas won over this distance once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 22% win rate on this ground from 9 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • Its average finish over the last three races is 2.3. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.

Bet £1, get £23.00 back if it wins

  • Raced again soon after its last run
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course beforeHas won over this distance twice
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • J. O'Neill Jr. wins 8.2% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £15.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a hood (covers its ears to keep it calm)
  • Its first race in 254 days
Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.

Bet £1, get £26.00 back if it wins

  • Racing against weaker horses than last time
  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
Won 0 of its last 5 racesHas raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.

Bet £1, get £34.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing cheekpieces (sheepskin that helps it focus)
  • Won 3 of its last 5 races
Has won on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
  • Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.

Bet £1, get £51.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 217 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
  • S. Hosie wins only 5.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Full stats
  • Crystal Island (no. 2)
    Jockey N. de Boinville: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. Henderson: wins 100% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 8lb, official rating 133
  • Four Springs (no. 9)
    Jockey K. Woods: wins 100% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Pauling: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 13lb, official rating 124
  • Spectacularsunrise (no. 4)
    Jockey T. McCain-Mitchell: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. & Willy Twiston-Davies: wins 33% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 7lb, official rating 132
  • Turndlightsdownlow (no. 6)
    Jockey F. Keighley: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer M. Keighley: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 2lb, official rating 127
  • Pourquoi Pas Papa (no. 11)
    Jockey S. Twiston-Davies: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. Nicholls: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 10st 11lb, official rating 131
  • Dig Deep (no. 12)
    Jockey B. Jones: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Pauling: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 10lb, official rating 121
  • Blue Carpet (no. 3)
    Jockey H. Skelton: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 7lb, official rating 132
  • The Gray Ghost (no. 7)
    Jockey C. Price: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer R. Llewellyn: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 0lb, official rating 125
  • Bill Joyce (no. 5)
    Jockey J. O'Neill Jr.: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. & A.J. O'Neill: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 5lb, official rating 130
  • Kap Ouest (no. 8)
    Jockey H. Cobden: wins 25% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer H. Fry: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 0lb, official rating 125
  • Sony Bill (no. 10)
    Jockey S. Bowen: wins 67% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer F. Bramley: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 10st 12lb, official rating 123
  • Captain Cool (no. 1)
    Jockey S. Quinlan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. Candlish: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 10lb, official rating 135
  • Sinchi Roca (no. 13)
    Jockey B. Carver: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. Hosie: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 10st 5lb, official rating 114
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Cheltenham tomorrow ?