Brighton

Progressive profile with four career wins (roughly one in ten races overall) gives him genuine appeal, and he ran a very close second just 31 days ago on good ground. The problem: he's never won on standard ground despite 26 attempts, and this Brighton course on normal conditions doesn't suit his profile—he's a course specialist at Chelmsford, not here.

Winless from 18 career races despite four places finishes, which tells you she consistently runs well but never quite gets home. Finished sixth at Brighton 25 days ago on standard ground, so she knows this course and conditions—but expecting her to finally break through would be optimistic.

This is the standout profile: Brighton specialist with three wins from ten visits (30%) and wins at roughly one in every seven races career-wide—the best win rate in the field. She's won twice on good ground and handles this track perfectly; recent form shows 4-4-9, suggesting she's in range of winning again.

Outsider at 17.0 with only one win from ten races and no wins in ten months, but she has Brighton form: finished fourth here just 27 days ago on standard ground. She handles this track and conditions better than most, though consistency remains her biggest issue.