Bangor-on-Dee
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Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Starts in
1h 25min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins 33p · 61 Very strong chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
61
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 1/3
£1 wins 33p · 61 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5/6 with one run under his belt—a narrow second-place defeat 248 days ago—Rattlin Home shows early promise but has yet to break through. Harry Skelton and the Dan Skelton yard have an outstanding record, and the tight defeat on debut suggests a horse worth watching, though he has not raced for 36 days.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Market favourite (5/6)
£1 wins £6.50 · 13 Solid chance
A 25% win rate at this course for P. Hobbs & Johnson White
13
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 25% win rate at this course for P. Hobbs & Johnson White. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- S. Houlihan wins 6.4% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut, Sittin Ona Fortune carries underrated value and comes from a pedigree built for stamina and jumping ability—Soldier Of Fortune crossed with a Flemensfirth mare. The Hobbs-White partnership has a respectable record, and the bloodlines suggest this five-year-old could develop into a capable sort once raced.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Ellis has a good 20% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- A 16% overall win rate for T. Ellis. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut with zero prior form to assess, Back To Sea arrives completely unproven at Bangor. The Tom Ellis yard is firing in winners, but a five-year-old stepping out for the first time against experienced rivals on slightly soft ground is high risk.
Racecourse debut
£1 wins £12 · 6 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- D. McCain has won 15.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 343 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
TrackLab Insight
After 343 days away, Godfrey Bouillon returns from his longest break in the field; he was second last time but has not won in two career races. Donald McCain's yard is in form, but the absence and lack of a breakthrough remain concerns on what will be only his third race.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 343 days (longest in field)
5
Legend d'Airy
£1 wins £14 · 6 Could surprise
A 15.8% overall win rate for B. Jones
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 15.8% overall win rate for B. Jones. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 15.2% overall win rate for B. Pauling. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- B. Pauling has a 13.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Just one race deep with a third-place finish 171 days ago, Legend D'Airy has never raced on slightly soft ground and will be returning after a long absence. Ben Pauling's yard carries quality, but a single run and a lack of ground experience leave plenty of uncertainty.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With an 11.3% win rate overall, A. Wedge is one of the more dependable riders.
- The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Simonsberg has raced once and finished third, but the Christian Williams yard's partnership combo has won only 3 from 42 races—well below the strength of other trainers in this field. At 40/1 with limited data and inexperience, he faces a tough task.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Wynne wins 18.6% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 13.3% overall win rate for O. Greenall & Josh Guerriero. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old racecourse debutant—unusually late to step out for the first time—Get Busy Jumping has no form to go on and will be learning his trade against horses with at least some track experience. The pedigree has merit, but the odds of 22/1 reflect genuine uncertainty.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Finished 10th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
TrackLab Insight
Jimmy Jazz finished tenth on debut 20 days ago and has never raced on slightly soft ground—both are red flags for a horse asking a lot of questions first time out. The Dan Skelton yard is solid, but there is nothing in the evidence to suggest imminent improvement.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
£1 wins £80 · 1 Long shot
O. Greenall & Josh Guerriero has won 13.3% of their races in their career
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- O. Greenall & Josh Guerriero has won 13.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 192 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Emral Bridge raced only yesterday and finished fifth—so there is virtually no pattern to read from a single outing 192 days after his only previous run. A four-year-old learning the game with limited data, he is unlikely to threaten on a ground he has never experienced.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 19% win rate at this course for D. Skelton. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- D. Skelton has a 19.0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut as a 4-year-old—notably late for a first run—He's A Terror has solid pedigree credentials through Walk In The Park but no form to build on. Dan Skelton's yard is strong, yet a debut in a competitive novices' field on slightly soft ground is a stern test.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- E. Collier wins 20% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- 16 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
On Subs has raced twice without a win or a place finish, most recently finishing fifth just yesterday; he is winless in two outings and out-paced in both. At 200/1 and racing every few weeks without progression, he looks to have little to offer in a competitive field.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.