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Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)

Four years into a career in the saddle, Tom Kiely-Marshall has now racked up 37 winners — a solid foundation for a young jockey still finding his way at the sport's sharp end. This season, though, has been a tough one. Eleven winners from 203 rides works out to roughly 1 in every 18 races, a win rate of just 5% — and that stings a little when you know that only a year ago he was winning 1 in every 8. That kind of dip is worth watching. It could be the natural turbulence of a young career, a shift in the quality of horses coming his way, or simply a lean run of luck. Either way, 203 rides in a season tells you he is busy and trusted — trainers are still putting him up.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Role
Jockey
Record
11 wins from 203 races
Win rate
5.4%
Top trainer
Best course
Beverley (9.5% from 21 races)
Best going
Good to firm

📊 Key Numbers

A snapshot of this jockey's performance over the last 12 months
203
Races
11
Wins
5.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
24.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Jockey Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His most consistent working relationship is with trainer Julie Camacho, who has given him 82 rides — a remarkable level of faith in a young jockey. From those, he has converted 5 into winners, roughly 1 in every 16. That's not a headline number, but it represents a real partnership, the kind where a trainer books the same jockey repeatedly because they trust what they see in the saddle, not just on the results sheet.

The partnership to watch, though, is with a horse called Tomorrow Day. Two wins from 7 races together might not sound dramatic, but in a sport where genuine on-track chemistry between horse and jockey is hard to manufacture, winning nearly 1 in every 3 races with the same horse is a genuine highlight. That's a combination worth following.

Perhaps the most useful thing to know about Kiely-Marshall right now is what he does on fast, dry ground. When conditions are firm underfoot, his numbers sharpen considerably — 4 wins from 39 races, meaning he wins roughly 1 in every 10. That's double his overall season rate, and it suggests he either rides differently on that surface, gets better horses under him when the ground is quick, or simply has a knack for it. On a dry summer's afternoon, he is worth paying attention to.

At 37 career winners in four years, the CV is modest but growing. The dip this season is the question mark, and how he responds to it will say a lot about where his career is heading.

📈 Form Trend

How this jockey's win rate has changed month by month
Monthly win rate
2025–2026
0%
Apr
4%
May
0%
Jun
11.5%
Jul
15%
Aug
13.0%
Sep
0%
Oct
6.7%
Nov
0%
Dec
0%
Jan
0%
Feb
0%
Mar

🎯 Where This Jockey Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to soft
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Standard to slow
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Avoids
Class 3
Class 4
Avoids
Class 5
Ok
Class 6
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turning
Loves
Left-handed, tight turning
Loves
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Left-handed, undulating
Avoids
Wide and galloping
Avoids
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

🏇 Trainer Partnerships

The trainers they work with most, sorted by rides together
Julie Camacho First Choice
6.1%
Win rate
5/82
Won / Rode
5.6%
Win rate
1/18
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/11
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/9
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
2/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

Top Horses

The strongest horses currently associated with this jockey
Form: 850-22
Form: 5348-2
Form: 774-79
Form: 380-48
Form: 513441
Form: 565244
Form: 75P-65
Form: 2765-6
Form: 964-14
Form: 5-2925

🏟 Course Record

Win rate at each course, sorted by number of races
CourseRacesWinsWin rate
Newcastle 48 2 4.2%
Beverley 21 2 9.5%
Redcar 15 1 6.7%
Southwell 12 0 0%
Wolverhampton 10 0 0%
Carlisle 10 0 0%
Thirsk 9 2 22.2%
Hamilton Park 9 1 11.1%
Pontefract 9 0 0%
York 9 0 0%
chelmsford 8 0 0%
Catterick Bridge 7 1 14.3%
Ripon 7 0 0%
Doncaster 5 0 0%
Leicester 4 2 50%
Kempton Park 3 0 0%
Ayr 3 0 0%
Chepstow 2 0 0%
Haydock Park 2 0 0%
Epsom Downs 2 0 0%
Nottingham 2 0 0%
Goodwood 1 0 0%
Salisbury 1 0 0%
Great Yarmouth 1 0 0%
Ascot 1 0 0%
Musselburgh 1 0 0%
Newmarket 1 0 0%

📅 Recent Results

The last 20 results, most recent first
10 Mar
Wolverhampton · 1m6f – 2m · Standard
5th
6 Mar
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
6th
6 Mar
Newcastle · 7f – 1m · Standard
2nd
26 Feb
chelmsford · 1m3f – 1m4f · Standard
26 Feb
chelmsford · 1m6f – 2m · Standard
24 Feb
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
9th
24 Feb
Newcastle · 1m3f – 1m4f · Standard
5th
21 Feb
chelmsford · 7f – 1m · Standard
2nd
21 Feb
chelmsford · 5f – 6½f · Standard
9th
15 Feb
Newcastle · 1m3f – 1m4f · Standard
5th
14 Feb
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
5th
9 Feb
Wolverhampton · 5f – 6½f · Standard
9th
8 Feb
chelmsford · 1m6f – 2m · Standard
2nd
8 Feb
chelmsford · 1m3f – 1m4f · Standard
2nd
6 Feb
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
10th
5 Feb
Southwell · 1m1f – 1m2f · Standard
6th
5 Feb
Southwell · 1m6f – 2m · Standard
8th
5 Feb
Southwell · 5f – 6½f · Standard
5th
4 Feb
Newcastle · 1m1f – 1m2f · Standard
6th
30 Jan
Southwell · 7f – 1m · Standard
7th