Yarmouth
·
Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Starts in
32h 6min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- A 0% record at this course for S. Hollinshead. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- J. Portman has an 8% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 20% win rate from 5 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- A 9.4% overall win rate for D. Hogan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- This is a 10-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Osborne wins 12.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- R. Burdon wins 14.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Jumping is a weakness. In jumps racing, poor jumping loses ground and confidence.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- P. Bradley has won 8.7% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- S. Pearce has a 1.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Muscutt has won 11.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- D. Simcock has a good 17% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- D. Muscutt has an 11.7% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- With a 15.5% win rate overall, R. Ryan is one of the more dependable riders.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- With £3,768 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- M. Herrington has not had many runners lately, so their recent form is unclear.
£1 wins 11p · 9 Could surprise
K. Shoemark has won 11.8% of their races in their career
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Shoemark has won 11.8% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 33% win rate from 3 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- 2 wins from 7 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 4 runs here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- An 8.4% career win rate for G. Margarson. That is below the top trainers.