Wolverhampton

Khepri is relatively inexperienced with just four races on the board and hasn't placed in any of them, including a poor eighth at Wolverhampton just 14 days ago — the most recent run suggests she's regressing rather than improving. She's trained by a yard in excellent form this season, but at this stage she looks one for the notebook rather than the betting slip.

The second-highest rated horse in the field, Poor Relation has been competitive in three of five races with a runner-up finish and two thirds, but that win still eludes her and she's had a long break of 45 days since last running. She sits a pound above Midnight Media on the ratings but lacks the recent race fitness and progressive form that makes the market favourite more interesting.

Perfect Ruler has the best career win rate in the field at 20% (1 from 5) and just broke through with a victory at Lingfield just 14 days ago, which is exactly the kind of momentum you want to see. However, she's one of only two horses in the field who've won, and she's still operating in the same rating band as Midnight Media despite having less course experience — the favourite's recent Wolverhampton and form edge is more persuasive.

Melting Snow is the second-favourite at 4.9 following a second-place finish at Yarmouth just 30 days ago, which shows she's competitive and ready to run. But she's winless from five starts and her form either side of that Yarmouth run (fourth and sixth) suggests she's inconsistent — she's closer in the market than her actual form warrants, and Midnight Media's winning record and course familiarity make the favourite more compelling.