Sansanetti is the only horse in the field with a proven record on normal ground—winning 4 from 5 starts here, a stunning 80% win rate that towers over her rivals. She's also the outright best performer overall at roughly 1 win in 3 races, and arrived fresh off a victory at Lingfield just 17 days ago, making her the natural market favourite despite the draw placing her mid-field.
Best record on this ground (4 from 5)Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)Market favourite (3.35)
Sevenkingsmustdie carries the lowest weight and lowest rating, but has never won or placed in 5 career races and has never raced on normal ground before, making this a significant unknown. After six weeks off the track and a sequence of moderate-to-poor finishes (7th, 5th, 10th), there's no evidence he belongs in a race at this level.
Lowest rated, 3lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on normal ground
Wearing tongue strapWon 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Luan is the only course winner in the field after taking a race here just 49 days ago, and he's arriving with genuine momentum—two wins in his last three starts—giving him a respectable 25% career win rate. However, his most recent run was a heavy 9th at Southwell, and this marks a step up in class that could test whether his form is genuine or a flash in an easier company.
Ottoman is quietly experienced with 23 career races but has won just twice, struggling to a 9% win rate that ranks among the weakest in the field. His recent form shows promise—a win at Leicester 49 days ago followed by two 5th places—but he's arriving off 23 days rest and faces the reality that he's never won on good ground, a potential issue if conditions firm up.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Phaedra presents a fascinating puzzle: she's the editorial selection and shows genuine promise over this distance (2 wins from 6 at 1m6f-2m), yet she's never won on normal ground across 10 attempts and hasn't raced in nearly two months. The low draw helps, but backing a horse that struggles specifically on today's going conditions is counterintuitive, no matter the optimistic long-term profile.
Dropping in classWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Bulldog Spirit is the most experienced runner here with 39 career races and shares the highest rating with Dancingondiamonds, but he's stepping up two classes from his usual haunts where he wins 1 in 3 races. Recent form is worrying—three consecutive runs at Ffos Las have yielded nothing better than 3rd—and he's never won on good or good-to-soft ground, limiting his scope in varied conditions.
Steps up 2 classesMost experienced (39 runs, field avg 16)
Despite carrying the second-highest rating, Dancingondiamonds has yet to win in 6 career races and arrives on a deeply concerning run of form—finishing 6th at Chepstow just three weeks ago after pulling up at Uttoxeter two races before that. The odds have drifted dramatically from 1.02 to 21.0, a clear signal of the market's lack of faith.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.