Stratford
·
Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Starts in
24h 14min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 22.5% win rate at this course for D. Skelton. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A 25% win rate on this ground from 4 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 8 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 9 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- 159 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 2m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- A 0% record at this course for K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
9
Bucksy des Epeires
£1 wins 11p · 11 Could surprise
Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- Jumping is a weakness. In jumps racing, poor jumping loses ground and confidence.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- A 7.4% record at this course for T. Symonds. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Nicholls wins 26.2% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 15.8% overall win rate for N. & Willy Twiston-Davies. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
£1 wins 11p · 8 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has won 1 time at this course from 2 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
- 405 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.