Stratford
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EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)
Starts in
23h 14min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton wins 22.5% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
£1 wins 10p · 10 Could surprise
O. Murphy has won 18.8% of their races in their career
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- O. Murphy has won 18.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- An 18.8% overall win rate for O. Murphy. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 12.3% overall win rate for C. Gordon. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- C. Gordon wins 12.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Stepping up to a harder race today. As with any step up, the question is whether the horse is good enough for this level.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Hatch has a good 33.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- R. Hatch wins 12.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Derham wins 22.2% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- P. O'Brien has a good 24.6% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- Finished 12th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- O. Murphy wins 18.8% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 13.6% overall win rate for H. C Knight. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- G. Sheehan wins 17% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Pauling has a good 23.4% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- B. Pauling wins 15.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- F. Bramley wins 14.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Ran well last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
10
Maria's Joy
£1 wins 10p · 9 Could surprise
J. Anderson wins 27.3% of their races at this course
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Anderson wins 27.3% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- G. Harris has a 7.5% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.