Stratford
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EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)
Starts in
22h 44min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 22.5% win rate at this course for D. Skelton. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Cannon has won 12.4% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- C. Gordon has won 12.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 12.3% record at this course for C. Gordon. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
£1 wins 10p · 10 Could surprise
O. Murphy has won 18.8% of their races in their career
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- O. Murphy has won 18.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- O. Murphy has won 18.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- O. Murphy wins only 16.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Honeyball wins 35.8% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- A 17.9% overall win rate for A. Honeyball. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Ryall has won 16% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A prize fund of £6,535 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- H. Ryall wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
£1 wins 10p · 10 Could surprise
B. Pauling wins 23.4% of their races at this course
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Pauling wins 23.4% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- A 15.2% overall win rate for B. Pauling. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Only 10th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8.0% overall win rate for L. Edwards. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- A 2.3% career win rate for S. Edwards. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
£1 wins 10p · 10 Could surprise
F. Bramley has won 14.5% of their races in their career
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- F. Bramley has won 14.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 16.7% win rate at this course for F. Bramley. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- P. O'Brien has a good 24.6% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.