Newton Abbot
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Savanna Stevens Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- A 14.3% overall win rate for D. Pipe. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- J. Tudor wins 12.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Savanna Storm finished seventh on debut at Fontwell two months ago, so there is a little form to go on — but not much to recommend. Today's dry ground is new, as that first run came on different conditions. Jockey Jack Tudor and trainer David Pipe have combined for 91 winners together, and that experienced partnership could help this lightly raced horse improve.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- With a 16.9% win rate overall, G. Sheehan is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 16.9% overall win rate for G. Sheehan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The Elusive Pike makes its racecourse debut with no form to assess, but it arrives from the yard of Jamie Snowden, whose operation has sent out 218 winners with jockey Gavin Sheehan — one of the strongest partnerships in this field on paper. Snowden trains out of Lambourn and clearly knows how to have a horse ready to run. Of all the debutants here, this combination of jockey and trainer gives the most reason to pay attention.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- A 12.1% overall win rate for H. Bannister. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Carrying a reasonable weight today. Less weight means less effort, and that matters over the whole race.
- D. Ffrench Davis has a 4.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Thepassingtyphoon is the standout on paper — the only horse in the field who has won over this exact course and distance, doing so on debut here at Newton Abbot 40 days ago. That makes it the only proven winner at 2m 1f around this track, which in a field packed with first-timers and unproven horses is a significant edge. The dry ground is new, but everything else points to this horse arriving with real claims.
Only winner at this distance
Has won over this course and distance
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- D. Evans has won 9.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- B. Powell wins 11.6% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Two races in, Bath Taverness has nothing to show — a fifth and a tenth, with no wins or placed finishes. Both runs came on wet ground, so today's dry conditions are completely uncharted territory for this horse. With the least encouraging form in the field, it faces a tough ask.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- N. & Willy Twiston-Davies has a good 19% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- With a 15.8% win rate overall, S. Twiston-Davies is one of the more dependable riders.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Another first-timer with no public form to judge, but Company Charge has something most debutants here don't — an experienced jockey in Sam Twiston-Davies, who wins roughly 1 in 6 races when riding for his family yard. That partnership has landed 35 winners together, and they don't tend to pitch up without a chance. One to watch despite the blank form book.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- B. John Murphy wins 2.9% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Ocean Rose has run twice and finished sixth on both occasions — the second of those came here at Newton Abbot, beaten nearly 80 lengths. Back at the same course just 40 days later, there is no obvious reason to think the result will be different. Of all the horses with actual form in this race, this is the least encouraging record.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- R. Corcoran wins 17.7% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Carrying a reasonable weight today. Less weight means less effort, and that matters over the whole race.
- I. Chanin wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A first-time runner with no form to speak of, and a jockey-trainer partnership that has yet to win from five attempts together. At four years old, there is some youth on its side, but there is simply nothing here to build any expectation around. Pure unknown.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- A 5.5% overall win rate for B. Poste. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Carrying a reasonable weight today. Less weight means less effort, and that matters over the whole race.
- M. Young has a 3% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Chase The Status has never raced before, so there is genuinely nothing to go on from a form perspective. The jockey and trainer have ridden together ten times without a win between them, which doesn't add confidence. Everything about this horse's first run is an unknown.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- M. Bevan wins 20% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- With £2,723 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- E. Pickard wins only 5.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Peggy Swift is a four-year-old making her first appearance on a racecourse, so there is nothing in the form book to go on. The jockey and trainer have yet to win together from 16 attempts, which is a thin record for a debut pairing. Impossible to assess, but that combination of stats doesn't scream confident first run.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- L. Harrison has a good 20% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- Not carrying too much weight. In racing every pound counts, especially late in the race.
- R. Chapman has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Vale Of Lanherne is a four-year-old making her racecourse debut with nothing on the clock and a jockey-trainer pairing that has never worked together before. That is about as bare a starting point as it gets. Without any supporting evidence, it is impossible to say anything meaningful about what she might do today.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Lucy Glitters has only raced once, but she made a decent fist of it — finishing second on her debut at Worcester a month ago. Today's dry ground is new territory for her, having only run on softer conditions before. She's the youngest horse in the race at four years old, and there could be more to come.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Manussa Pedlar steps onto a racecourse for the first time with no form whatsoever to assess. The listed trainer has provided no data to build confidence around, which makes this one of the bigger blanks in the field. Debut runners can surprise, but there is very little here to point toward a bold first effort.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Park Hall won on debut here at Newton Abbot a month ago, and now returns to the same course — the only other winner in this field alongside Thepassingtyphoon with course experience. However, that debut win came on softer ground, and today's dry conditions are untested for this horse. Trained by Dan Skelton, one of the sharpest yards in jump racing, which counts for something.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Sparkling Water hasn't raced for 143 days — the longest absence of anyone in this field — which is a notable question mark coming into a competitive debut on dry ground it has never encountered. The two previous runs produced a second and a fourth, both in wet conditions, so the form shows some ability but in very different circumstances. Trained by Ralph Beckett, a highly regarded trainer, but the long break and untested ground make this one hard to trust.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 143 days (longest in field)