Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 4 timesLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
One of the horses the editorial tips highlight, and his record at this course and distance makes a strong case — four wins from 17 races at Newcastle, all over a mile, giving him roughly a 1-in-4 strike at this specific track and trip. The problem is he has never won on normal ground conditions in nine attempts, and that is exactly what he faces today.
Best record at this trip (5 from 25)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"Last year was a good one for him with four wins, all at Newcastle over a mile. He had a busy time of it and has had aeak since December. He'll need to improve a bit this year because he's risen to a mark of 66. He needs to be held up. 09-04-25"
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 4 timesHas won on this groundWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite, and with good reason on paper — four of his five career wins have come at this exact track, giving him a record of 4 wins from 18 races at Newcastle that makes him the joint-strongest course specialist in the field alongside Trais Fluors. The worry is his recent form is poor, with a ninth, seventh, and fourth in his last three races, and he has never won on standard ground here in certain conditions.
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Another of the editorial picks, and the standout stat here is that he has a win from three races on normal ground — the best record on today's conditions of any horse in the field. His last win came at Newcastle 82 days ago, but two very poor efforts since then (14th at Nottingham and 9th at Wolverhampton) make it hard to know which version turns up today.
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of the most experienced horses in the field with 54 career races, but his last six runs show a sequence of finishing mid-pack or worse, with three consecutive sixth and seventh-place finishes. He has won four times in his career but has never won on normal ground conditions — a significant problem given what he faces today.
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 5 timesHas won on this groundWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
At 12 years old, this is the oldest horse in the field and the most experienced — 64 races to his name, compared to a field average of 31. Remarkably, five of his six career wins have come right here at Newcastle on normal ground, giving him a record of 5 wins from 23 races on this surface that no rival can match. The concern is that recent form shows eighth, eighth, and fifth, so he may need everything to fall right.
Fresh (133 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of the editorial picks, but he comes here after 133 days off — the longest absence of any horse in the field — and has never won at Newcastle in six attempts. He arrives rated 3lbs below the field average, which gives him a slight weight advantage, and his most recent run was a respectable third at Southwell before his break.
Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market despite winning only once in 18 races, which is a modest return of roughly 1 in every 18. Her two most recent runs at Newcastle brought a second and a third, so she clearly handles this track — but she is a short-distance specialist by record, and today's mile is at the upper end of what suits her.
Wearing blinkersFresh (64 days off)Won 1 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Flagged by the editorial team and arrives with a recent second-place finish at Lingfield on his recent CV, though his last run was a sixth-place finish at Wolverhampton 64 days ago. He has placed in two of his last three completed races, and his record on surfaces that differ from standard conditions is solid — but he has never won on normal ground in seven attempts, which is a flag worth noting.
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
A nine-year-old with 64 career races and six wins, but his recent form is difficult to ignore — he finished 12th last time out at Ripon, beaten 17 lengths. His record on left-handed, galloping tracks shows just one win from 32 races, and Newcastle fits that profile, which makes his chance here look slim despite the experience he brings.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
A nine-year-old with three wins at Newcastle under his belt, but his record on normal conditions here is a concern — he has never won on this type of surface in 12 attempts. His last two runs were both well-beaten tenth-place finishes at this very track, and the market has drifted heavily against him despite his rating being above the field average.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 7)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Rated joint-lowest in the field alongside Abu Royal, and has never won on normal ground conditions in four attempts — which is the surface she faces today. Her one career win came at Ffos Las, and her recent form shows finishes of ninth, seventh, and sixth, with nothing to suggest a big run is imminent here.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (66 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which is a small advantage, but his only career win came at Ayr nearly three years ago and nothing since has come close. He has never won on normal ground conditions in 10 attempts, and his last two runs at Southwell saw him beaten by 16 and 54 lengths — both deeply unpromising.
The least experienced horse in the field with just four races to his name, and still searching for his first win. His last three runs have produced finishes of seventh, ninth, and tenth, suggesting he is finding this level tough — and at odds of 51, the market agrees he faces a stiff task here.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.