Newcastle
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Newcastle (AW)
Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 13/8
£1 wins £1.63 · 37 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Haslam's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- A 0% record at this course for H. Vigors. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
19
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Bailey's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 4.8% career win rate for C. Horgan. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Jardine's horses finish 61.5% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- 3 wins from 20 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Ramsden's horses finish 62.5% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- J. Ramsden has a 6.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Williams's horses finish their races 57.6% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- With 45 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
- Carrying 131 lbs today, which is a lot of weight. The extra pounds take their toll as the race goes on.
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 6 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- A. Brittain's horses finish 55.6% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- A. Brittain wins only 8.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Goldie's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- J. Goldie wins only 11.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Perratt's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- M. Paetel has a 0% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.