Newcastle
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Newcastle (AW)
Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Silent Strike
Very underrated horse
£1 wins £1.50 · 42 Very strong chance
A. Balding's horses finish their races 70% of the time
42
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 6/4
£1 wins £1.50 · 42 Very strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Balding's horses finish their races 70% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. R. Burke's runners finish 73.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 14.6% record at this course for K. R. Burke. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Hills's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- C. Hills has a 12.7% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Paul Keatley's horses finish 16.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Spencer's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Has not finished well in the last few races. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Perratt's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- An 8.4% career win rate for L. Perratt. That is below the top trainers.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.