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Newcastle

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Newcastle (AW)
Awaiting result
Flat race · no jumps Underrated horse: Fortunate Star +1 About 5 furlongs Unknown Grassroots race 9 runners
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Fortunate Star Underrated horse
B. Loughnane · S. Hanlon · 6yo · 10st 0lb · Official rating 50
£1 wins £3 · 27 Strong chance
S. Hanlon's runners finish 40% of their races
Headgear Trainer
27
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 27 Strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Jockey overall win rate ✓ Horse record at this course
Wearing visor Trainer in form Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 6 times
Why this score
  • S. Hanlon's runners finish 40% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • With a 15.1% win rate overall, B. Loughnane is one of the more dependable riders.
  • A 5.9% record at this course for S. Hanlon. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days) Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • I. Jardine's horses finish their races 61.5% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • G. Fairley wins only 3.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 77 days off Jockey in form (7 wins in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • T. Waggott's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • J. Hart has a good 12.7% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • T. Waggott wins only 4.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • L. Perratt's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • An average finish of 3.7 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
  • A 5.2% career win rate for A. Waugh. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £20.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • J. Goldie's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 9-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Came 8th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £14.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 144 days off Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days) Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • D. & Nicola Barron's horses finish their races 60% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
  • Came 11th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • A. Brittain's runners finish 55.6% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Came home 2nd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • C. Hardie has a 4.6% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £22.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • G. Harrison's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • G. Harrison has a 3.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • Has won at this distance 3 times before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
  • L. Bailey's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • L. Bailey has a 5.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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